District 2-6A Best and Worst Case Scenarios for 2015
Joshua J. Grine - August 11th, 2015
Best and worst case is just a look at the schedule for teams heading into next season. Another feature to give you things to debate, it's okay to voice your own best and worst case scenario.
Once a week I am blessing (haha) the readers with my unwanted opinion.
More: District 1-6A Best/Worst Case | Most Improved Teams for 2015
HIGHLAND HORNETS
Best Case
Before you jump on my case, a 'best case' scenario of 4-wins for the Highland Hornets would be a HUGE successful from a season ago. The Hornets preseason ranked No. 24 in 6A went a whopping 0-10 last season under first year head coach Stacy Washington. Well, I really like Washington and believe he will have this program on rise in a short amount of time. Must wins are West Mesa (No. 21), Rio Grande (No. 23), Albuquerque High (No. 17) and Atrisco Heritage (No. 16). West Mesa and Rio Grande are the coin flip games, while Albuquerque High and Atrisco will be 'upset' victories.
Record: (4-6. 0-4). A playoff birth is everyone's goal but right now this is the start of this process.
Worst Case
Their offense moved the ball and they put up points, yes not a lot but they scored (several teams in the state had more 0-point games). The worst case is their defense continues to allow others to put points up at ease. They have to coin flip games (list above) and 'maybe likely' games to stay competitive. Lose those and we could be looking at another year like last.
Record: (1-9, 0-4) - Miss the playoffs.
MANZANO MONARCHS
Best Case
The Monarchs are preseason ranked No. 11 in 6A and looking to shake off a 4-6 season from a season back. They ended the year solid with a close loss to La Cueva (34-32) to end district play and a 24-20 loss in the State playoffs to Onate. They have games that they will be heavy favorites in Highland (No. 24), Rio Grande (No. 23), and West Mesa (No. 21) that we can project W's. Next, right now they are favorites in the match-usp with La Cueva (No. 13) and Cibola (No. 14) in coin flip games. The last game we gave in a best case scenario is Volcano Vista (No. 7) in an 'upset' victory, a team they beat 40-14 last season.
Record: (6-4, 2-2). Playoff Team. Maybe a win.
Worst Case
They could win their must win games but if they fail to win the two coin flip games against La Cueva and Cibola they could look to finish below .500 again. They have to find that upset win but if they don't get it against Volcano Vista the rest of the schedule is flooded with talent in Mayfield, Cleveland and Sandia. Eldorado could also be a game to look at for Manzano.
Record: (3-6, 1-4) - Miss the playoffs.
LA CUEVA BEARS
Best Case
The Bears went an impressive (9-3, 4-0) last season to win District 2-6A. This year we see a difficult chance of that success with a preseason No. 13 ranking in the middle tier of teams but let's look at the best case. Must wins or favorites include Highland (No. 24), Del Norte (No. 9 in 5A), Atrisco Heritage (No. 17). Next we see coin flip games as W's in Manzano(No. 11), Valley (No. 15), and Cibola (No. 14). Last we go to the rivalry game with Eldorado as a W.
Record: (7-3, 3-1). Make the playoffs and could be a one win team.
Worst Case
Now for the worst case scenario for the Bears. We count two wins out of three in the favorite games but (personally-Grine) sees Atrisco Heritage Academy as the dark horse pick. This season could be a roller coaster type and could be in a new category "Middle Case Scenario".
Record: (2-8, 1-3) - Miss the playoffs.
ELDORADO EAGLES
Best Case
The Eagles went an impressive 10-2 last season only dropping games to rival La Cueva and eventual state champ Rio Rancho. Must win games are: Rio Grande (No. 23) to open the season, Valley (No. 15), West Mesa (No. 21), and Highland (No. 24). Coin flip games are: Volcano Vista (No. 7), rival game is always coin flip La Cueva (No. 13) and Manzano another district foe and last game of the season.
Record: (7-3, 3-1). Playoffs with a possible win.
Worst Case
We give the Eagles, the preseason ranked No. 6 team in 6A the must wins minus a dark horse in Valley. We give La Cueva but a loss to Manzano in a possible upset loss. This team
Record: (4-6, 2-2). Make the Playoffs on the bubble.
SANDIA MATADORS
Best Case
The Matadors are favorites in 8 of their 9 games and we give them the projected win according to the Grine formula (which means nothing and is strictly made up for the fun of my article). The game with Cleveland could be the one loss in this 'look-at-the-schedule' feature. They have to maintain over coin flips in Eldorado and Volcano Vista. The Matadors are preseason ranked No. 5.
Record: (8-1, 4-0). Playoff team with a couple wins, maybe more.
Worst Case
Okay, this could be difficult as a worst case scenario and who really knows. But for the sake of this look at the schedule type of feature we say they win over Highland, La Cueva, Carlsbad and Albuquerque High. But.... you never know what will happen and in a worst case scenario losses to Volcano Vista, Atrisco Heritage (someone yell upset), Cleveland, and Eldorado. They beat Manzano in a surprise fight night.
Record: (5-4, 3-1). Bubble team for the Playoffs but sneak in.
Joshua J. Grine - August 11th, 2015
Best and worst case is just a look at the schedule for teams heading into next season. Another feature to give you things to debate, it's okay to voice your own best and worst case scenario.
Once a week I am blessing (haha) the readers with my unwanted opinion.
More: District 1-6A Best/Worst Case | Most Improved Teams for 2015
HIGHLAND HORNETS
Best Case
Before you jump on my case, a 'best case' scenario of 4-wins for the Highland Hornets would be a HUGE successful from a season ago. The Hornets preseason ranked No. 24 in 6A went a whopping 0-10 last season under first year head coach Stacy Washington. Well, I really like Washington and believe he will have this program on rise in a short amount of time. Must wins are West Mesa (No. 21), Rio Grande (No. 23), Albuquerque High (No. 17) and Atrisco Heritage (No. 16). West Mesa and Rio Grande are the coin flip games, while Albuquerque High and Atrisco will be 'upset' victories.
Record: (4-6. 0-4). A playoff birth is everyone's goal but right now this is the start of this process.
Worst Case
Their offense moved the ball and they put up points, yes not a lot but they scored (several teams in the state had more 0-point games). The worst case is their defense continues to allow others to put points up at ease. They have to coin flip games (list above) and 'maybe likely' games to stay competitive. Lose those and we could be looking at another year like last.
Record: (1-9, 0-4) - Miss the playoffs.
MANZANO MONARCHS
Best Case
The Monarchs are preseason ranked No. 11 in 6A and looking to shake off a 4-6 season from a season back. They ended the year solid with a close loss to La Cueva (34-32) to end district play and a 24-20 loss in the State playoffs to Onate. They have games that they will be heavy favorites in Highland (No. 24), Rio Grande (No. 23), and West Mesa (No. 21) that we can project W's. Next, right now they are favorites in the match-usp with La Cueva (No. 13) and Cibola (No. 14) in coin flip games. The last game we gave in a best case scenario is Volcano Vista (No. 7) in an 'upset' victory, a team they beat 40-14 last season.
Record: (6-4, 2-2). Playoff Team. Maybe a win.
Worst Case
They could win their must win games but if they fail to win the two coin flip games against La Cueva and Cibola they could look to finish below .500 again. They have to find that upset win but if they don't get it against Volcano Vista the rest of the schedule is flooded with talent in Mayfield, Cleveland and Sandia. Eldorado could also be a game to look at for Manzano.
Record: (3-6, 1-4) - Miss the playoffs.
LA CUEVA BEARS
Best Case
The Bears went an impressive (9-3, 4-0) last season to win District 2-6A. This year we see a difficult chance of that success with a preseason No. 13 ranking in the middle tier of teams but let's look at the best case. Must wins or favorites include Highland (No. 24), Del Norte (No. 9 in 5A), Atrisco Heritage (No. 17). Next we see coin flip games as W's in Manzano(No. 11), Valley (No. 15), and Cibola (No. 14). Last we go to the rivalry game with Eldorado as a W.
Record: (7-3, 3-1). Make the playoffs and could be a one win team.
Worst Case
Now for the worst case scenario for the Bears. We count two wins out of three in the favorite games but (personally-Grine) sees Atrisco Heritage Academy as the dark horse pick. This season could be a roller coaster type and could be in a new category "Middle Case Scenario".
Record: (2-8, 1-3) - Miss the playoffs.
ELDORADO EAGLES
Best Case
The Eagles went an impressive 10-2 last season only dropping games to rival La Cueva and eventual state champ Rio Rancho. Must win games are: Rio Grande (No. 23) to open the season, Valley (No. 15), West Mesa (No. 21), and Highland (No. 24). Coin flip games are: Volcano Vista (No. 7), rival game is always coin flip La Cueva (No. 13) and Manzano another district foe and last game of the season.
Record: (7-3, 3-1). Playoffs with a possible win.
Worst Case
We give the Eagles, the preseason ranked No. 6 team in 6A the must wins minus a dark horse in Valley. We give La Cueva but a loss to Manzano in a possible upset loss. This team
Record: (4-6, 2-2). Make the Playoffs on the bubble.
SANDIA MATADORS
Best Case
The Matadors are favorites in 8 of their 9 games and we give them the projected win according to the Grine formula (which means nothing and is strictly made up for the fun of my article). The game with Cleveland could be the one loss in this 'look-at-the-schedule' feature. They have to maintain over coin flips in Eldorado and Volcano Vista. The Matadors are preseason ranked No. 5.
Record: (8-1, 4-0). Playoff team with a couple wins, maybe more.
Worst Case
Okay, this could be difficult as a worst case scenario and who really knows. But for the sake of this look at the schedule type of feature we say they win over Highland, La Cueva, Carlsbad and Albuquerque High. But.... you never know what will happen and in a worst case scenario losses to Volcano Vista, Atrisco Heritage (someone yell upset), Cleveland, and Eldorado. They beat Manzano in a surprise fight night.
Record: (5-4, 3-1). Bubble team for the Playoffs but sneak in.
Last edited:
