Grine: Reviewing Our 2016 Predictions
Today, we decide to see our wrongs, sometimes our rights and look back at some of our predictions for the 2016 season.
Five Times We Were Wrong
Spring Rankings Too High/Too Low: Eldorado (3), Manzano (11). The two big wrongs here are two teams that could switch spots as we had the Eagles as the 3rd ranked team in the state. We were sold on the talent returning for the Eagles but that didn't pan out. The Monarchs on the other had are the biggest surprise team of the season winning 10-games and reaching the semi-finals of the 6A state playoffs. The Eagles ended the season in the Top-25 but we didn't see them going 5-6 and ranked 19th in the state.
Semi-Final Team. Sandia Matadors. We had the Matadors ranked 15th in the pre-season and I screamed that we had them to low, they would be a Top-10 team in no time. Well the season, and all of it's adversities hit, the Matadors finished ranked outside the Top-25 at 34 with a (3-7) record.
5 Most Improved Team. Valencia. Call it love for the Valencia county team and we might pick them again in the summer of 2017 but maybe we were a season too early on this call. Especially with the Jaguars playing in a tough district that featured two teams in the semi-finals, one that will play for the 2016 state title.
Most Likely to Dethrone Cleveland in 6A. I bought on Mayfield, had doubts but held Rio Rancho and sold Eldorado. So partially I was right selling Eldorado. Wrong buying Mayfield who underachieved to their standards. Also, I was wrong in my opinion for saying I hold and doubt right now.
5A Playoffs/District Predictions. Bought these teams to make the playoffs. Capital, Deming and Lovington. Well call it a swing and a miss! Also, I sold on Miyamura who later reached the quarterfinals. We totally missed in 2-6A with a prediction of Clovis, Eldorado, Sandia, Manzano and La Cueva. Manzano predicted 4th looks idiotic.
Five Times We Were Right
Spring Rankings Just Right: Rio Rancho (1), Cleveland (2). If you look back to our NMPreps.com's Top 50 Spring Rankings you see we had the Rio Rancho Rams ranked No. 1 in the state. As of week 14 on the season the Rams sit in that same slot that we had in the Spring. They are currently 12-0 on the season and have been dominant after returning from a 7-4 season in 2015. Cleveland at 2 didn't look bad, still doesn't as they are ranked 3rd in the Fab 50 for Week-15. They had been ranked 2nd for 13 weeks until they recently lost in the state semi-finals ending their season 11-2.
5 Most Improved Teams. Belen. I was wrong saying that I could see only 6-wins (double their wins from 2015) however I was right claiming that the Eagles would be improved under their new head coach. The Eagles would go on and be District 5-5A runner ups. I also had Santa Rosa (played well), St. Mikes (played in the semi-final) and La Cueva who all were improved.
Returning to the Playoffs: 5A. Listed are the teams we bought on to return or make the playoffs - Los Lunas, Artesia, St. Pius X, Aztec, Del Norte, Goddard, Alamogordo, Farmington. That is were we got it right, we could throw in Belen who we held as well so 9 of 12 isn't too bad. Wait until you see who the other three teams were (read above).
Making the Cut: 6A Playoffs. Team we had IN for the feature looking at the state playoffs in the preseason. Cleveland, Mayfield, Las Cruces, Rio Rancho, Eldorado and Clovis. Also, had Carlsbad on that section but 6/7 a win. We then went on to say Volcano Vista, Centennial, Onate, La Cueva and Valley - again missing on 1. So all in all we went 10 of 12 on our tournament teams in the preseason.
District Predictions. In 1-6A we were right on the dot with the order. Rio Rancho, Cleveland, Volcano Vista, Cibola and Piedra Vista. However, our District predictions didn't live up well we will say we got one correct, maybe two with 2-5A. We did get 4-5A correct as we had some preseason hype on Roswell. Also, we were just about right in 5-5A going with a prediction of St. Pius, Los Lunas, Belen, Valencia and Grants.
Take A Look Back: Spring Rankings
Top-25
No. 1 Rio Rancho Rams (Right)
No. 2 Cleveland Storm (99.9 close)
No. 3 Eldorado Eagles (Way Wrong)
No. 4 Mayfield Trojans (Wrong)
No. 5 Las Cruces Bulldawgs (Wrong)
No. 6 Artesia Bulldogs (About Right)
No. 7 Clovis Wildcats (About Right)
No. 8 Centennial Hawks (About Right)
No. 9 Onate Knights (About Right)
No. 10 Hobbs Eagles (Wrong)
No. 11 Manzano Monarchs (Way Wrong)
No. 12 Volcano Vista Hawks (About Right)
No. 13 La Cueva Bears (About Right)
No. 14 Alamogordo Tigers (About Right)
No. 15 Sandia Matadors (Too High - Wrong)
No. 16 Carlsbad Cavemen (About Right)
No. 17 Cibola Cougars (Wrong)
No. 18 Piedra Vista Panthers (Wrong)
No. 19 Albuquerque Bulldogs (Wrong)
No. 20 Atrisco Heritage Jaguars (Wrong but Playoff team)
No. 21 Deming Wildcats (WAAAY WRONG)
No. 22 Los Lunas Tigers (Too Low, Wrong but Close)
No. 23 Goddard Rockets (About Right)
No. 24 Valley Vikings (Wrong)
No. 25 St. Pius X Sartans (Too Low, Way Too Low)
Today, we decide to see our wrongs, sometimes our rights and look back at some of our predictions for the 2016 season.
Five Times We Were Wrong
Spring Rankings Too High/Too Low: Eldorado (3), Manzano (11). The two big wrongs here are two teams that could switch spots as we had the Eagles as the 3rd ranked team in the state. We were sold on the talent returning for the Eagles but that didn't pan out. The Monarchs on the other had are the biggest surprise team of the season winning 10-games and reaching the semi-finals of the 6A state playoffs. The Eagles ended the season in the Top-25 but we didn't see them going 5-6 and ranked 19th in the state.
Semi-Final Team. Sandia Matadors. We had the Matadors ranked 15th in the pre-season and I screamed that we had them to low, they would be a Top-10 team in no time. Well the season, and all of it's adversities hit, the Matadors finished ranked outside the Top-25 at 34 with a (3-7) record.
5 Most Improved Team. Valencia. Call it love for the Valencia county team and we might pick them again in the summer of 2017 but maybe we were a season too early on this call. Especially with the Jaguars playing in a tough district that featured two teams in the semi-finals, one that will play for the 2016 state title.
Most Likely to Dethrone Cleveland in 6A. I bought on Mayfield, had doubts but held Rio Rancho and sold Eldorado. So partially I was right selling Eldorado. Wrong buying Mayfield who underachieved to their standards. Also, I was wrong in my opinion for saying I hold and doubt right now.
5A Playoffs/District Predictions. Bought these teams to make the playoffs. Capital, Deming and Lovington. Well call it a swing and a miss! Also, I sold on Miyamura who later reached the quarterfinals. We totally missed in 2-6A with a prediction of Clovis, Eldorado, Sandia, Manzano and La Cueva. Manzano predicted 4th looks idiotic.
Five Times We Were Right
Spring Rankings Just Right: Rio Rancho (1), Cleveland (2). If you look back to our NMPreps.com's Top 50 Spring Rankings you see we had the Rio Rancho Rams ranked No. 1 in the state. As of week 14 on the season the Rams sit in that same slot that we had in the Spring. They are currently 12-0 on the season and have been dominant after returning from a 7-4 season in 2015. Cleveland at 2 didn't look bad, still doesn't as they are ranked 3rd in the Fab 50 for Week-15. They had been ranked 2nd for 13 weeks until they recently lost in the state semi-finals ending their season 11-2.
5 Most Improved Teams. Belen. I was wrong saying that I could see only 6-wins (double their wins from 2015) however I was right claiming that the Eagles would be improved under their new head coach. The Eagles would go on and be District 5-5A runner ups. I also had Santa Rosa (played well), St. Mikes (played in the semi-final) and La Cueva who all were improved.
Returning to the Playoffs: 5A. Listed are the teams we bought on to return or make the playoffs - Los Lunas, Artesia, St. Pius X, Aztec, Del Norte, Goddard, Alamogordo, Farmington. That is were we got it right, we could throw in Belen who we held as well so 9 of 12 isn't too bad. Wait until you see who the other three teams were (read above).
Making the Cut: 6A Playoffs. Team we had IN for the feature looking at the state playoffs in the preseason. Cleveland, Mayfield, Las Cruces, Rio Rancho, Eldorado and Clovis. Also, had Carlsbad on that section but 6/7 a win. We then went on to say Volcano Vista, Centennial, Onate, La Cueva and Valley - again missing on 1. So all in all we went 10 of 12 on our tournament teams in the preseason.
District Predictions. In 1-6A we were right on the dot with the order. Rio Rancho, Cleveland, Volcano Vista, Cibola and Piedra Vista. However, our District predictions didn't live up well we will say we got one correct, maybe two with 2-5A. We did get 4-5A correct as we had some preseason hype on Roswell. Also, we were just about right in 5-5A going with a prediction of St. Pius, Los Lunas, Belen, Valencia and Grants.
Take A Look Back: Spring Rankings
Top-25
No. 1 Rio Rancho Rams (Right)
No. 2 Cleveland Storm (99.9 close)
No. 3 Eldorado Eagles (Way Wrong)
No. 4 Mayfield Trojans (Wrong)
No. 5 Las Cruces Bulldawgs (Wrong)
No. 6 Artesia Bulldogs (About Right)
No. 7 Clovis Wildcats (About Right)
No. 8 Centennial Hawks (About Right)
No. 9 Onate Knights (About Right)
No. 10 Hobbs Eagles (Wrong)
No. 11 Manzano Monarchs (Way Wrong)
No. 12 Volcano Vista Hawks (About Right)
No. 13 La Cueva Bears (About Right)
No. 14 Alamogordo Tigers (About Right)
No. 15 Sandia Matadors (Too High - Wrong)
No. 16 Carlsbad Cavemen (About Right)
No. 17 Cibola Cougars (Wrong)
No. 18 Piedra Vista Panthers (Wrong)
No. 19 Albuquerque Bulldogs (Wrong)
No. 20 Atrisco Heritage Jaguars (Wrong but Playoff team)
No. 21 Deming Wildcats (WAAAY WRONG)
No. 22 Los Lunas Tigers (Too Low, Wrong but Close)
No. 23 Goddard Rockets (About Right)
No. 24 Valley Vikings (Wrong)
No. 25 St. Pius X Sartans (Too Low, Way Too Low)
