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Feature Week 10 Friday Night Picks and Predictions

J Grine

NMPreps Hall Of Fame
Staff
Oct 31, 2010
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Rio Rancho
Week 10 Friday Night Picks and Predictions

Joshua J. Grine, the publisher of NMPreps, offers his selections, and the staff unveils their game predictions for tonight's lineup of matches. New Mexico High School Football #nmpreps

GAMEGRINE'S PICKNMPREPS LINENMPREPS SCORE PREDICTION
Centennial (5-2) at Alamogordo (4-4)CentennialCentennial, -29.5Centennial 44, Alamogordo 13
Cibola (0-8) at Cleveland (5-3)ClevelandCleveland, -50.5Cleveland 53, Cibola 0
Clovis (3-5) at Capital (1-7)ClovisClovis, -9.5Clovis 28, Capital 19
Hobbs (3-5) at Organ Mountain (0-8)HobbsHobbs, -50Hobbs 50, Organ Mountain 0
Rio Rancho (6-2) at Volcano Vista (6-2)Rio RanchoVolcano Vista, -5.5Volcano Vista 26, Rio Rancho 21
Sandia (7-1) at La Cueva (5-3)La CuevaLa Cueva, -10.5La Cueva 33, Sandia 21
West Mesa (4-4) at Rio Grande (2-6)West MesaWest Mesa, -50.5West Mesa 51, Rio Grande 0
Belen (0-8) at Miyamura (3-5)MiyamuraMiyamura, -4.5Miyamura 29, Belen 26
Bloomfield (8-0) at Aztec (5-3)BloomfieldBloomfield, -3.5Bloomfield 25, Aztec 20
Gadsden (6-2) at Santa Teresa (0-8)GadsdenGadsden, -49.5Gadsden 48, Santa Teresa 0
Goddard (6-2) at Artesia (7-1)ArtesiaArtesia, -2.5Artesia 36, Goddard 34
Highland (5-3) at Piedra Vista (3-5)Piedra VistaPiedra Vista, -14.5Piedra Vista 30, Highland 14
Mayfield (4-4) at Roswell (8-0)RoswellRoswell, -17.5Roswell 47, Mayfield 24
Hozho Academy (2-5) at Shiprock (0-8)ShiprockShiprock, -1.5Shiprock 14, Hozho 13
Gallup (1-7) at Kirtland Central (2-6)Kirtland CentralKirtland Central, -29.5Kirtland Central 38, Gallup 10
Granta (4-4) at Valencia (4-4)ValenciaValencia, -3.5Valencia 24, Grants 20
Lovington (5-3) at Albuquerque Academy (5-3)LovingtonLovington, -30.5Lovington 45, Academy 14
Moriarty (5-3) at Espanola Valley (5-3)Espanola ValleyMoriarty, -4.5Moriarty 26, Espanola 21
Portales (8-0) at Bernalillo (6-2)PortalesPortales, -20.5Portales 42, Bernalillo 18
Taos (2-6) at Pojoaque Valley (3-5)TaosTaos, -1.5Taos 26, Pojoaque 24
Dexter (6-2) at Tucumcari (3-4)DexterDexter, -16.5Dexter 34, Tucumcari 14
Newcomb (3-5) at Zuni (2-6)NewcombNewcomb, -20Newcomb 31, Zuni 8
Robertson (6-2) at Raton (4-5)RobertsonRobertson, -2.5Robertson 28, Raton 27
Santa Fe Indian (1-7) at West Las Vegas (6-2)West Las VegasWest LV, -50West LV 50, SFIS 0
Socorro (6-2) at Hatch Valley (5-3)SocorroSocorro, -21.5Socorro 33, Hatch 12
St. Michael's (6-2) at El Paso-Cathedral, TX (4-4)
Thoreau (5-3) at Crownpoint (6-2)ThoreauThoreau, -10.5Thoreau 22, Crownpoint 13
Tohatchi (3-5) at Navajo Prep (3-5)Navajo PrepNavajo Prep, -17.5Navajo Prep 27, Tohatchi 10
Wingate (3-5) at Cuba (6-2)CubaCuba, -27.5Cuba 34, Wingate 7
Capitan (1-7) at Mescalero Apache (3-5)Mescalero ApacheMescalero, -14.5Mescalero 24, Capitan 6
Estancia (3-5) at Tularosa (5-3)TularosaTularosa, -14.5Tularosa 28, Estancia 14
Eunice (7-2) at Loving (6-1)EuniceEunice, -20Eunice 44, Loving 22
Santa Rosa (8-1) at Escalante (4-5)Santa RosaSanta Rosa, -19.5Santa Rosa 29, Escalante 12
Texico (6-2) at Jal (6-2)TexicoTexico, -13.5Texico 36, Jal 23

Grine's Record: 283-60 (82.5%)

Week 10: 5-0 (Thursday)
Week 9: 30-6
Week 8: 28-5
Week 7: 23-9
Week 6: 22-8
Week 5: 30-8
Week 4: 40-5
Week 3: 32-9
Week 2: 40-6
Week 1: 33-4

Game of the Night: Volcano Vista (6-2 overall) vs Rio Rancho (6-2 overall)

In a pivotal clash that promises to shape the postseason landscape, the Volcano Vista Hawks and the Rio Rancho Rams are set to battle. Both teams, boasting potent offensive weapons and stout defenses.

Three Reasons Why Volcano Vista Hawks Will Win:

A-Train Leading the Charge:
Volcano Vista boasts the top-ranked running back in New Mexico high school football, Alijah "A-Train" Gonzales (2024). A-Train is the locomotive that keeps the Hawks' ground game rolling. With 1,247 rushing yards to his name, he's a force to be reckoned with and the primary offensive weapon for Volcano Vista. His ability to consistently break through defenses will be a significant advantage for the Hawks.

Stifling Defensive Duo: While A-Train grabs the headlines, Volcano Vista's Jace Anderson (2024) and Kian VanderWilt (2024) are the unsung heroes on the defensive front. Both players average over 6 tackles per game, with Anderson boasting an impressive 50 total tackles and VanderWilt contributing 46 total tackles this season. Their combined efforts on the defensive end will be essential in stopping Rio Rancho's offensive pushes and keeping the Rams in check.

Versatile Offensive Options: Besides their ground dominance, the Hawks have a well-rounded offensive arsenal, including a trio of key receivers. Aden Cardiel, Devin Banks, and Tyler Stuart have collectively scored 10 touchdowns this season, adding diversity to the Volcano Vista offense. Cardiel, with 271 receiving yards, and Stuart, who has four receiving touchdowns, are valuable targets who can come in clutch late in the game. This receiving corps, combined with A-Train's rushing prowess, provides the Hawks with multiple offensive options and keeps their opponents guessing.

Three Reasons Why Rio Rancho Rams Will Win:

Offensive Renaissance:
The Rams have experienced a resurgence in their offense, with significant improvements over their performance from the previous season and the early part of this year. During their current three-game winning streak, Rio Rancho has averaged an impressive 44.3 points per game, which is a substantial uptick from their 25.5 points per game earlier in the season. This offensive revitalization has come at a pivotal time, providing a newfound potency to their game.

JJ Arellano's Emergence: Quarterback JJ Arellano (2025) has been entrusted with more responsibilities during this winning streak, and he's risen to the occasion. Arellano threw for an impressive 356 passing yards against Farmington and an additional 281 passing yards against Cibola. He's showcased his ability by accumulating 12 passing touchdowns in just two games, emphasizing his growing prowess as a signal-caller. His dual-threat nature, with over 200 rushing yards during the winning streak, makes him a versatile offensive weapon.

Versatile Run-Pass Options: The Rams have diversified their offensive approach, particularly in their run-pass options under Arellano and the emergence of running back Rayce Ramirez (2024). Ramirez, in particular, displayed his potential when he rushed for a season-high 148 yards and contributed three rushing touchdowns against Atrisco Heritage. This dynamic and versatile offense, with the ability to either run or pass effectively, can keep Volcano Vista's defense guessing and give the Rams a strategic advantage in this pivotal matchup. Anthony Raymer, a senior, has thrived when Arellano is at the helm, demonstrated by his impressive 130 receiving yards against Farmington and another 103 receiving yards in their victory over Cibola. Raymer has accumulated a remarkable 12 receiving touchdowns this season.


Prediction: Volcano Vista Hawks vs. Rio Rancho Rams

This matchup between the Volcano Vista Hawks and the Rio Rancho Rams is sure to be a thrilling contest. Both teams are having strong seasons and are vying for a prime playoff position in the tough 6A football division. While the Hawks have the advantage of the top-ranked running back in New Mexico high school football, Alijah "A-Train" Gonzales, and a formidable defensive duo, the Rams have shown significant offensive improvements and feature a versatile run-pass option. With the momentum on their side, we predict the Rio Rancho Rams to edge out the Volcano Vista Hawks in a closely contested game, with a final score of Rio Rancho 28, Volcano Vista 24. Yes, I went against the NMPreps pick again.


Grine's Extra Pick of the Night: Espanola Valley


In this week's "Pick Against the Favorite," we have a thrilling matchup between the Moriarty Pintos (5-3) and the Espanola Valley Sundevils (5-3) vying for the District 2-4A Championship and a coveted automatic bid to the 4A state playoffs.

While I typically align with the consensus on NMPreps favorites and score predictions, I can't help but jump on the Sundevil football bandwagon. Adrick Deleon (2024) is an absolute game-changer, and his extraordinary performance last week left a lasting impression. He's a DAWG, He's a DUDE!

Moriarty's season has seen its ups and downs, with a turbulent stretch in early September. Despite their recent bounce-back victory over Pojoaque (34-6), the Pintos have faced some challenges. But, for this matchup, I'm putting my faith in the Sundevils. Their determination and Deleon's outstanding abilities give them an edge, and I believe they'll seize the District 2-4A Championship in a close and exciting battle. Don't miss this clash on Friday at 7 pm in 4A football – it's bound to be a showdown to remember.
 
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