How we did it
Projected District Finish
Head to Head (after three weeks)
Current Rating (and projected movement with district projection)
6A FOOTBALL
#1 Cleveland (Bye)
#2 Rio Rancho (Bye)
#3 Centennial (Bye)
#4 La Cueva (Bye)
#5 Cibola vs #12 Santa Fe
#6 Eldorado vs #11 Clovis
#7 Las Cruces #10 Carlsbad
#8 Hobbs vs #9 Volcano Vista
First Out: Sandia
Figuring it Out: Centennial moved into our favorite from the southern district and pushes them to a potential three seed. La Cueva has the edge on Cibola and Las Cruces and we predict them beating out Eldorado.
5A FOOTBALL
#1 Goddard (Bye)
#2 Los Lunas (Bye)
#3 Farmington (Bye)
#4 Mayfield (Bye)
#5 Artesia vs #12 Capital
#6 Piedra Vista vs #11 Belen
#7 Deming vs #10 Santa Teresa
#8 Roswell vs #9 Alamogordo
First Out: Valley
Figuring it Out: Roswell is the big question mark here. If they finish third, beating Alamogordo during district play they could likely be a 2/3-win team with a first round home game. Tough schedule indeed but they could be looking at an over/under of 2.5 wins at this point. More to shake out with the 10-12 teams along with outsiders Valley, Los Alamos and Miyamura.
4A FOOTBALL
#1 Lovington (Bye)
#2 Bloomfield (Bye)
#3 Albuquerque Academy (Bye)
#4 Ruidoso (Bye)
#5 Silver vs #12 Pojoaque Valley
#6 St. Pius X vs #11 Valencia
#7 Bernalillo vs #10 Kirtland Central
#8 Moriarty vs #9 Portales
First Out: Grants
Figuring it Out: First, let's start with our district champions - Lovington, Bloomfield, Abq Academy, and Moriarty. Moriarty may be the only potential DC on the road in the first round with Portales potentially (likely) winning their next five games. Portales needs the 9.17 game against SPX and they are going to get a first round home game plus the Rams could still end up finishing 1-4 in that district. Here is what we know in 4A. Lovington is very good, Bloomfield continues to excel (we were wrong that they would be rebuilding), and spots 3-12 could shake up by the week.
Projected District Finish
Head to Head (after three weeks)
Current Rating (and projected movement with district projection)
6A FOOTBALL
#1 Cleveland (Bye)
#2 Rio Rancho (Bye)
#3 Centennial (Bye)
#4 La Cueva (Bye)
#5 Cibola vs #12 Santa Fe
#6 Eldorado vs #11 Clovis
#7 Las Cruces #10 Carlsbad
#8 Hobbs vs #9 Volcano Vista
First Out: Sandia
Figuring it Out: Centennial moved into our favorite from the southern district and pushes them to a potential three seed. La Cueva has the edge on Cibola and Las Cruces and we predict them beating out Eldorado.
5A FOOTBALL
#1 Goddard (Bye)
#2 Los Lunas (Bye)
#3 Farmington (Bye)
#4 Mayfield (Bye)
#5 Artesia vs #12 Capital
#6 Piedra Vista vs #11 Belen
#7 Deming vs #10 Santa Teresa
#8 Roswell vs #9 Alamogordo
First Out: Valley
Figuring it Out: Roswell is the big question mark here. If they finish third, beating Alamogordo during district play they could likely be a 2/3-win team with a first round home game. Tough schedule indeed but they could be looking at an over/under of 2.5 wins at this point. More to shake out with the 10-12 teams along with outsiders Valley, Los Alamos and Miyamura.
4A FOOTBALL
#1 Lovington (Bye)
#2 Bloomfield (Bye)
#3 Albuquerque Academy (Bye)
#4 Ruidoso (Bye)
#5 Silver vs #12 Pojoaque Valley
#6 St. Pius X vs #11 Valencia
#7 Bernalillo vs #10 Kirtland Central
#8 Moriarty vs #9 Portales
First Out: Grants
Figuring it Out: First, let's start with our district champions - Lovington, Bloomfield, Abq Academy, and Moriarty. Moriarty may be the only potential DC on the road in the first round with Portales potentially (likely) winning their next five games. Portales needs the 9.17 game against SPX and they are going to get a first round home game plus the Rams could still end up finishing 1-4 in that district. Here is what we know in 4A. Lovington is very good, Bloomfield continues to excel (we were wrong that they would be rebuilding), and spots 3-12 could shake up by the week.
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