Week Four: Most Likely Upset Picks This Week
Grine | NMPreps.com
Each week on NMPreps.com we give five picks that are most likely to be an upset, or come close enough to an upset.
No. 19 Farmington High School (3-0) at Aztec High School (3-0)
Details: Friday (Line: Farmington -4.5)
Why: Both teams are hot right now and representing the four corners area well. Both teams are perfect and will clash on Friday night in Aztec, New Mexico. Aztec enters as a slight underdog at (+4.5) but have an opportunity to upset the ranked Scorpions (No. 19 NMPreps Top-25). What this match-up sets up is a passing highlight reel in quarterback Caleb Carrillo (2021) for Farmington; Aztec brings a balanced attack in QB Marcquis Henry (2023) and RB Alex Parra (2020). If you've followed the two programs, the roles feel reversed as Farmington was more a run team and Aztec letting it fly. Chances for an upset: 3.2/5
No. 20 Hobbs High School (0-3) vs Lovington High School (2-1)
Details: Friday (Line: Hobbs -12)
Why: Well, little brother has dropped the last seven meetings to the bigger older brother. Although, Lovington has more jewelry in the last ten years, it is Hobbs that has handled the Wildcats. The last Wildcat win was 2011 under former head coach Jaime Quinoes, in a 31-28 three overtime game in Hobbs. The Wildcats would later go on to win the state championship that season. Well, turn to this season and things could feel a lot like 2011 with the Eagles under a new head coach and off to a struggling 0-3 start to the season. Lovington is 2-1 and in position to make another run at glory for a state championship. I wouldn't jump directly on the Wildcats win opportunity as Hobbs played well last week against the 5A state champ Roswell Coyotes - Jarren Lewis (2021) is becoming a player at quarterback. Lovington quarterback Casey Perez (2020) has had a great career, can he cap it off with finally taking it to bigger brother.
Chances for an upset: 4/5
No. 11 Goddard High School (3-0) vs No. 17 Portales High School (3-0)
Details: Friday (Line: Goddard -6.5)
Why: This one could either be the game we talk about until the early Saturday morning or it will be the Goddard Rockets continuing their big statement season. The Rockets have been building and building each season but this one has a different feel to it, much like how Roswell felt last season. Goddard has yet to allow a point against them, we questioned their offense last week and they proved us wrong for even considering. Portales the 4A power that is also running over teams and off to a 3-0 start. This clash brings a lot of power to it and now we turn to the Portales Rams, can their offense move the chains against the Rockets defense? The line is a tricky one and maybe have some bite on either side, Goddard faithful thinking they can run over the smaller school or Portales able to hang around against the Rockets.
Chances: 3.5/5
Line Games
Robertson (-8) vs Ruidoso: These two battle, Ruidoso hasn't been as hot as we expected but maybe this is the true test for both teams. We can gauge the meter here.
Hope Christian at West Las Vegas (-5.5): The Dons are coming off a big loss last week against the 4A power in Portales. We've been asked or questioned about our lack of faith in the Huskies being as good as a year before. Some said they are still top-2 in their class. Well, we get to place them on the meter stick with this game.
Dexter (-3.5) at Hatch Valley: The classification is lacking the overall favorite. Hatch Valley has dropped the last two games, Dexter is off to a 3-0 start as they defend their title. The line doesn't play into the favors here but if you like an upset, Hatch could be your choice here. Dexter is currently on a 9 game win streak and the Demons are out to prove they are still the champs.
Grine | NMPreps.com
Each week on NMPreps.com we give five picks that are most likely to be an upset, or come close enough to an upset.
No. 19 Farmington High School (3-0) at Aztec High School (3-0)
Details: Friday (Line: Farmington -4.5)
Why: Both teams are hot right now and representing the four corners area well. Both teams are perfect and will clash on Friday night in Aztec, New Mexico. Aztec enters as a slight underdog at (+4.5) but have an opportunity to upset the ranked Scorpions (No. 19 NMPreps Top-25). What this match-up sets up is a passing highlight reel in quarterback Caleb Carrillo (2021) for Farmington; Aztec brings a balanced attack in QB Marcquis Henry (2023) and RB Alex Parra (2020). If you've followed the two programs, the roles feel reversed as Farmington was more a run team and Aztec letting it fly. Chances for an upset: 3.2/5
No. 20 Hobbs High School (0-3) vs Lovington High School (2-1)
Details: Friday (Line: Hobbs -12)
Why: Well, little brother has dropped the last seven meetings to the bigger older brother. Although, Lovington has more jewelry in the last ten years, it is Hobbs that has handled the Wildcats. The last Wildcat win was 2011 under former head coach Jaime Quinoes, in a 31-28 three overtime game in Hobbs. The Wildcats would later go on to win the state championship that season. Well, turn to this season and things could feel a lot like 2011 with the Eagles under a new head coach and off to a struggling 0-3 start to the season. Lovington is 2-1 and in position to make another run at glory for a state championship. I wouldn't jump directly on the Wildcats win opportunity as Hobbs played well last week against the 5A state champ Roswell Coyotes - Jarren Lewis (2021) is becoming a player at quarterback. Lovington quarterback Casey Perez (2020) has had a great career, can he cap it off with finally taking it to bigger brother.
Chances for an upset: 4/5
No. 11 Goddard High School (3-0) vs No. 17 Portales High School (3-0)
Details: Friday (Line: Goddard -6.5)
Why: This one could either be the game we talk about until the early Saturday morning or it will be the Goddard Rockets continuing their big statement season. The Rockets have been building and building each season but this one has a different feel to it, much like how Roswell felt last season. Goddard has yet to allow a point against them, we questioned their offense last week and they proved us wrong for even considering. Portales the 4A power that is also running over teams and off to a 3-0 start. This clash brings a lot of power to it and now we turn to the Portales Rams, can their offense move the chains against the Rockets defense? The line is a tricky one and maybe have some bite on either side, Goddard faithful thinking they can run over the smaller school or Portales able to hang around against the Rockets.
Chances: 3.5/5
Line Games
Robertson (-8) vs Ruidoso: These two battle, Ruidoso hasn't been as hot as we expected but maybe this is the true test for both teams. We can gauge the meter here.
Hope Christian at West Las Vegas (-5.5): The Dons are coming off a big loss last week against the 4A power in Portales. We've been asked or questioned about our lack of faith in the Huskies being as good as a year before. Some said they are still top-2 in their class. Well, we get to place them on the meter stick with this game.
Dexter (-3.5) at Hatch Valley: The classification is lacking the overall favorite. Hatch Valley has dropped the last two games, Dexter is off to a 3-0 start as they defend their title. The line doesn't play into the favors here but if you like an upset, Hatch could be your choice here. Dexter is currently on a 9 game win streak and the Demons are out to prove they are still the champs.
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