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FINAL Projections: 3A Girls Basketball

Apollo221

NMPreps Hall Of Fame
Feb 13, 2013
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Albuquerque
FINAL District Standings (Regular Season)

District 1
Navajo Prep 9-1
Tohatchi 8-2
Crownpoint 7-3
Thoreau 4-6
Wingate 2-8
Zuni 0-10

District 2
Robertson 8-0
Santa Fe Indian 6-2
St. Michael's 3-5
West Las Vegas 3-5
Raton 0-8

District 3
Hatch Valley 5-1
Socorro 4-2
Cobre 3-3
Hot Springs 0-6

District 4
Tucumcari 4-0
Tularosa 2-2
Dexter 0-4

District 5
Sandia Prep 9-1
Cuba 7-2
Laguna-Acoma 6-3
Bosque 3-7
CCP 2-8
East Mountain 1-8

FINAL PROJECTIONS

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#1 ROBERTSON
District Finish: 1st
Head-To-Head: 3-1 vs. SFIS; 0-1 vs. Tucumcari
Wins vs. DCs: Five (5) - Portales (twice), Farwell (TX), Texico, and Silver
Overall Record: 25-2 for 92.59%
Maxpreps Rank: 1
Coaches Poll: 1

Note: Clear and by far the #1 team in 3A.

#2 SANTA FE INDIAN
District Finish: 2nd
Head-To-Head: 1-3 vs. Robertson; W vs. Navajo Prep; W vs. Sandia Prep
Wins vs. DCs: Six (6) - McCurdy, Dulce, Navajo Prep, Sandia Prep, Pojoaque Valley, and Robertson
Overall Record: 24-4 for 85.71%
Maxpreps Rank: 2
Coaches Poll: 3

Note: They were the apparent 2-seed just narrowly ahead of Tucumcari. Their rating had some cushion and this win against Robertson definitely tightens their grip on this seed.

#3 TUCUMCARI
District Finish: 1st
Head-To-Head: W vs. Robertson, W vs. West Las Vegas
Wins vs. DCs: Three (3) - McCurdy, Estancia, and Robertson
Overall Record: 21-4 for 84.00%
Maxpreps Rank: 3
Coaches Poll: 2


#4 HATCH VALLEY
District Finish: 1st
Head-To-Head: W vs. Sandia Prep; W vs. St. Michael's
Wins vs. DCs: Three (3) - Sandia Prep, Cliff, and Estancia
Overall Record: 22-5 for 81.48%
Maxpreps Rank: 5
Coaches Poll: 4

Note: For awhile there it looked like maybe Navajo Prep was going to jump them for the 4-seed but Hatch had just enough to hold off the Eagles from swapping places.


#5 NAVAJO PREP
District Finish: 1st
Head-To-Head: W vs. Sandia Prep
Wins vs. DCs: Two (2) - Mescalero Apache and Sandia Prep
Overall Record: 19-9 for 67.86%
Maxpreps Rank: 4
Coaches Poll: 5


#6 TULAROSA
District Finish: 2nd
Head-To-Head: W vs. Socorro
Wins vs. DCs: Three (3) - Loving, McCurdy, and Mescalero Apache
Overall Record: 17-9 for 65.38%
Maxpreps Rank: 7
Coaches Poll: 6


#7 SOCORRO
District Finish: 2nd
Head-To-Head: L vs. Tularosa,
Wins vs. DCs: One (1) - Hatch Valley
Overall Record: 17-10 for 62.96%
Maxpreps Rank: 9
Coaches Poll: 7


#8 WEST LAS VEGAS
District Finish: T-3rd
Head-To-Head: 2-1 vs. St. Michael's
Wins vs. DCs: None (0)
Overall Record: 17-11 for 60.71%
Maxpreps Rank: 6
Coaches Poll: 8

Note: West benefited from a drop in Tohatchi's ranking, likely from their loss to Crownpoint. Now instead of heading on the road, West is projected to stay home.


#9 TOHATCHI
District Finish: 2nd
Head-To-Head: N/A
Wins vs. DCs: None (0)
Overall Record: 14-13 for 51.85%
Maxpreps Rank: 8
Coaches Poll: 10

Note: Three-way tie (in my interpretation) gave Tohatchi the advantage IF Sandia Prep won the Coaches' Input. Even in the event that Sandia Prep doesn't get that help in Coaches' Input, Tohatchi sticks to the 9-seed. Still a lot could happen, but I'm now fairly confident in Tohatchi staying ahead.


#10 CROWNPOINT
District Finish: 3rd
Head-To-Head: N/A
Wins vs. DCs: Two (2) - Navajo Prep and Mescalero Apache
Overall Record: 17-12 for 58.62%
Maxpreps Rank: 10
Coaches Poll: No votes

Note: Crownpoint has the better criteria against St. Michael's and Sandia Prep but it's really up to Tohatchi's position as to where Crownpoint will finally end up. At this 11-seed is their floor in seeding with Sandia Prep jumping to the 9-seed.


#11 ST. MICHAEL'S
District Finish: T-3rd
Head-To-Head: 1-2 vs. West Las Vegas; 1-1 vs. Sandia Prep
Wins vs. DCs: One (1) - Sandia Prep
Overall Record: 11-15 for 42.31%
Maxpreps Rank: 11
Coaches Poll: 8

Note: St. Michael's splitting with Sandia Prep their head-to-head games might be the best thing to happen for the Lady Horsemen. Not only did it keep them from falling to the 12-seed (their floor seed), but it kept Sandia Prep from jumping to the 9-seed. There's still a possibility given the outcome of the NMAA's three-way tie procedure but St. Mike's has the criteria advantage over Sandia Prep.


#12 SANDIA PREP
District Finish: 1st
Head-To-Head: 1-1 vs. St. Michael's
Wins vs. DCs: None (0)
Overall Record:16-11 for 59.26%
Maxpreps Rank: 13
Coaches Poll: 11

Note: IF in the event Sandia Prep gets some support in the Coaches' Input and surpasses Tohatchi, it'll still force a three-way tie that they may not come out of on top. In my interpretation, Sandia Prep remains at the 12-seed.


#13 THOREAU
District Finish: 4th
Head-To-Head: W vs. Cuba; L vs. Laguna-Acoma
Wins vs. DCs: None (0)
Overall Record: 15-12 for 55.56%
Maxpreps Rank: 12
Coaches Poll: 12


#14 CUBA
District Finish: 2nd
Head-To-Head: L vs. Thoreau
Wins vs. DCs: One (1) vs. Sandia Prep
Overall Record: 12-11 for 52.17%
Maxpreps Rank: 16
Coaches Poll: No votes


#15 COBRE
District Finish: 3rd
Head-To-Head: N/A
Wins vs. DCs: None (0)
Overall Record:11-17 for 39.29%
Maxpreps Rank: 14
Coaches Poll: 16

Note: It was actually a 2-2-2 split with Dexter for the final spot but the Maxpreps' rankings is used as the tiebreaker and Cobre has a HUGE cushion to maintain their projected seeding.


#16 LAGUNA-ACOMA
District Finish: 3rd
Head-To-Head: N/A
Wins vs. DCs: None (0)
Overall Record: 14-13 for 51.85%
Maxpreps Rank: 15
Coaches Poll: No votes
 
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