The New Mexico High School Basketball Tournament is just around the corner and from here on out, were talking Bracketology! Who’s in, who’s out will be our daily debates inside the New Mexico High School Premium Message Board. No better time to join for a Hoops fan than right now!
Seeding Criteria
Finish in regular season district play, Head to HeadWins against district champions regardless of classoverall records and the Freeman Rankings (aka the sponsor that pays the NMAA to use their computer rankings).
MARCH 1ST: FINAL SEEDING PREDICTIONS (Keep Scrolling For Each Class)
Here are my final Class 6A Boys Seeding Predictions
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1. Hobbs 25-2, 6-1
2. Cleveland 24-2, 7-1
3. Volcano Vista 16-8, 5-3
4. Carlsbad 20-6, 5-2
5. Rio Rancho 20-7, 5-3
6. Sandia 14-10, 7-1
7. Valley 15-9, 7-1
8. Las Cruces 19-7, 7-1
9. Albuquerque 19-5, 4-4
10. West Mesa 16-9, 4-4
11. Onate 14-13, 5-3
12. Cibola 14-12, 3-5
13. Gadsden 17-10, 5-3
14. Rio Grande 12-14, 3-5
15. Atrisco Heritage 13-12, 2-6
16. Eldorado 11-14, 6-3
Teams I have missing the playoffs
Santa Fe 11-16, 0-8
La Cueva 11-14, 6-3
Highland 4-21, 2-7
Manzano 6-19
Mayfield 9-18, 3-5
Deming 8-20
Alamogordo 10-18, 2-5
Clovis 5-22, 1-6
Here are my final Class 5A Boys Seeding Predictions
1. Centennial 23-4, 10-0
2. Gallup 25-1, 8-0
3. Roswell 22-3, 6-0
4. St. Pius X 21-3, 6-0
5. Espanola 20-6, 7-1
6. Grants 17-9, 4-3
7. Del Norte 17-8, 6-2
8. Bernalillo 18-10, 5-3
9. Farmington 19-8, 6-2
10. Piedra Vista 13-15, 4-4
11. Goddard 13-14, 3-4
12. Los Lunas 13-14, 7-4
13. Artesia 13-15, 3-5
14. Lovington 13-13, 2-5
15. Belen 14-12, 7-5
16. Capital 12-16, 2-6
Who I have missing the playoffs
Aztec 10-18, 1-7
Miyamura 6-21, 1-7
Los Alamos 2-25, 0-8
Santa Teresa 11-17, 5-5
Valencia 9-18, 3-7
Chaparral 0-27, 0-11
Academy 10-17, 2-5
Moriarty 4-22, 1-5
Here are my final Class 4A Boys Seeding Predictions
1. Hope Christian 22-4, 8-0
2. West LV 20-5, 5-1
3. Taos 16-10, 4-2
4. Pojoaque 18-9, 3-3
5. St. Mike’s 16-10, 6-2
6. Portales 14-9, 6-0
7. Silver 16-11, 7-1
8. Cobre 14-11, 7-1
9. Kirtland 10-17, 8-2
10. Bloomfield 20-7, 7-3
11. Shiprock 14-14, 6-4
12. Thoreau 19-9, 5-5
13. SFIS 12-14, 3-5
14. NMMI 10-13, 3-3
15. Ruidoso 11-17, 2-4
16. Hot Springs 9-15, 2-6
Teams I have missing the playoffs
Wingate 11-16, 4-6
Zuni 9-16, 0-10
Robertson 8-20, 0-6
Hatch 14-14, 2-6
Socorro 11-16, 2-6
East Mountain 6-21, 1-5
Bosque 12-13, 3-6
Sandia Prep 5-22, 1-8
Here are my final Class 3A Boys Seeding Predictions
1. Mesilla 23-2, 7-0
2. Clayton 19-7, 6-0
3. Laguna Acoma 22-3, 6-0
4. Tucumcari 22-4, 5-2
5. Santa Fe Prep 19-7, 10-0
6. Texico 16-9, 6-1
7. Santa Rosa 17-10, 3-5
8. Loving 19-6, 5-2
9. Dulce 18-8, 8-2
10. Eunice 19-8, 3-4
11. Newcomb 19-5, 7-1
12. Pecos 16-12, 6-4
13. Lordsburg 14-13, 4-3
14. Tohatchi 15-12, 6-2
15. NACA 15-12, 4-3
16. Rehoboth 9-17, 3-5
Teams I Have Missing The Playoffs This Year
Crownpoint 6-19, 2-6
Navajo Prep 5-21, 2-6
Monte Del Sol 9-18, 2-8
Desert Academy 9-15, 2-8
Academy Tech 10-16, 2-8
Tularosa 7-20, 2-4
Capitan 4-21, 0-6
Dexter 4-23, 0-7
Raton 3-20, 0-7
Cuba 13-11, 2-5
Estancia 10-18, 2-6
Here are my final Class 2A Boys Seeding Predictions (Top 8)
1. Magdalena 27-0, 7-0
2. Escalante 26-1, 10-0
3. Mora 18-8, 8-2
4. To’Hajiilee 19-3, 9-1
5. Melrose 16-6, 6-1
6. Logan 20-6, 6-2
7. Dora 15-10, 3-5
8. Pine Hill 16-6, 8-1
Here are my final Class 1A Boys Seeding Predictions (Top 8)
1. Cliff 24-2, 6-0
2. Hondo 25-2, 8-0
3. Springer 20-5
4. San Jon 17-6, 4-2
5. Santa Fe Waldorf 21-6, 9-1
6. Evangel Christian 16-8, 9-1
7. Carrizozo 19-9, 6-2
8. Quemado 20-8, 4-2
Here are my final Class 6A Girls Seeding Predictions
1. Clovis 24-2, 6-0
2. Cibola 23-2, 7-1
3. Mayfield 22-4, 8-0
4. La Cueva 20-4, 8-0
5. Hobbs 18-9, 3-3
6. Las Cruces 19-8, 7-2
7. Volcano Vista 16-9, 7-1
8. Albuquerque 17-8, 7-1
9. Valley 17-8, 7-1
10. Carlsbad 16-12, 3-3
11. Santa Fe 16-10, 3-5
12. Eldorado 14-11, 6-2
13. Alamogordo 13-14, 0-6
14. Rio Rancho 11-16, 2-6
15. Gadsden 10-18, 3-6
16. Sandia 11-14, 4-4
Teams I have missing the playoffs
Cleveland 9-19, 1-7
Highland 3-22, 1-7
Manzano 3-22, 1-8
District 3-6A
Deming 13-14, 2-6
Onate 7-20, 1-7
Atrisco 8-17, 3-5
West Mesa 8-18, 3-5
Rio Grande 1-24, 0-8
Here are my final Class 5A Girls Seeding Predictions
1. Los Lunas 26-2, 10-0
2. Gallup 23-2, 8-0
3. Espanola 22-3, 7-1
4. Roswell 22-3, 6-0
5. Los Aalmos 23-4, 7-2
6. Valencia 21-7, 7-3
7. Farmington 20-8, 6-2
8. Belen 20-7, 7-3
9. Lovington 15-9, 5-2
10. Del Norte 15-11, 6-4
11. St. Pius X 11-12, 5-1
12. Centennial 15-13, 4-6
13. Grants 15-11, 4-2
14. Goddard 15-13, 3-5
15. Aztec 11-16, 3-5
16. Piedra Vista 13-16, 2-6
Who I have missing the tournament
Miyamura 10-17, 1-7
Bernalillo 7-20, 3-7
Capital 1-26, 0-9
Santa Teresa 4-22, 2-8
Chaparral 0-27, 0-10
Artesia 8-18, 0-7
Moriarty 8-19, 3-4
Academy 8-19, 1-5
Here are my final Class 4A Girls Seeding Predictions
1. Hope 20-6, 8-0
2. Shiprock 24-4, 12-0
3. St. Mike’s 22-5, 4-3
4. Portales 19-6, 4-0
5. Sandia Prep 18-10, 4-4
6. Kirtland 16-10, 9-3
7. Taos 15-11, 5-1
8. West LV 18-9, 4-2
9. Silver 9-16, 6-2
10. Hatch 18-9, 6-3
11. SFIS 15-12, 3-5
12. Bloomfield 15-12, 9-3
13 Ruidoso 12-13, 3-2
14. Hot Springs 9-14, 4-4
15. Cobre 17-12, 3-6
16. Thoreau 10-18, 4-8
Teams I Have Missing The Playoffs
Robertson 10-17, 2-4
Wingate 8-18, 2-9
Zuni 7-20, 1-9
Pojoaque 7-20, 1-5
Socorro 4-23, 2-6
East Mountain 4-19, 0-5
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February 24th: Henderson's Final 4 Predictions
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Read Why Here
Read Why Here
Read Why Here
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February 22nd: Henderson's Seeding Predictions
Please do not post this bracket on twitter or facebook. Class 6A
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February 19th: Playoff Locks & Bubble Teams [/B]
6A Playoff Locks
X - Cleveland 23-2, 6-1
X - Rio Rancho 19-6, 5-2
X - Volcano Vista 16-8, 5-3
X - Sandia 14-9, 7-0
X - Las Cruces 19-7, 7-1
X - Hobbs 23-2, 4-1
X - Carlsbad 18-5, 4-1
X - Valley 15-8, 7-0
X - West Mesa 14-8, 3-3
X - Albuquerque 18-5, 3-4
X - Atrisco Heritage 13-10, 2-5
X - Cibola 12-11, 2-5
X - Onate 12-13, 4-3 X - Gadsden 15-9, 4-3
6A Bubble Teams
Rio Grande 10-13, 2-5
Eldorado 9-14, 4-3
La Cueva 9-14, 4-3
6A Need to win district tournament to get in
Santa Fe 11-14, 0-7
Highland 4-20, 2-6
Manzano 6-17, 1-6
Mayfield 9-16, 3-4
Deming 7-18, 0-7
Clovis 5-20, 1-4
Alamogordo 9-16, 1-4
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February 16th: The No. 1 Seeds If The Playoffs Started Today [/B]
Please do not share this information on facebook or twitter. This is for premium subscribers only.
6A
Hobbs Eagles - 23-2 - Their late loss to Carlsbad is not being overlooked. Seeding is not about what happened one night during a rivalry game on the road. It’s the body of work. The Eagles have straight blasted everyone else and Carlsbad is a top 4 seed likely.
5A
Centennial Hawks - 19-4 - Two wins that stand out. Beating Hobbs and Cleveland. Those are likely the two top 6A seeds. They also just ran through their district and split with Roswell this year.
4A
Hope Christian Huskies - 21-4 - The dynasty continues at Hope Christian under Head Coach Jim Murphy. They have won 13 in a row and beaten some of the top teams from Class 6A. Huge favorite to win it all this year.
3A
Mesilla Valley Christian - 19-2 - Have won 14 games in a row and are currently a perfect 4-0 in district. Tristan Franzoy and Jeff Adler are one of the state’s top duo’s.
2A
Magdalena Steers - 24-0 - The only team still in the mix to finish the season perfect. Displayed their potency by blasting Hondo back in early February.
1A
Cliff Cowboys - 21-1 - Their lone loss on the season comes against Mesilla Valley by just 3. That says a lot as Mesilla is our projected 3A no. 1 seed. We hear 6-foot-8 Holt Shelley is one to watch.
February 14th: Playoff Seeding Predictions [/B]
Please do not share this information on facebook or twitter. This is for premium subscribers only. [/I]
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February 10th: Seeding Predictions As Of February 10th, 2015
6A [/B]
1. Hobbs
16. Mayfield
8. Las Cruces
9. Volcano Vista
5. Sandia
12. Atrisco Heritage
4. Carlsbad
13. Onate
3. Cleveland
14. Rio Grande
6. Valley
11. Cibola
7. Albuquerque
10. West Mesa
2. Rio Rancho
15. Gadsden
Bubble
La Cueva and Eldorado
Class 5A[/B]
1. Centennial
16. Belen
8. Bernalillo
9. Piedra Vista
4. St. Pius X
13. Artesia
5. Farmington
12. Grants
3. Gallup
14. Capital
6. Del Norte
11. Academy
7. Espanola
10. Goddard
2. Roswell
15. Los Lunas
February 7th: District Favorites aka Auto Bids
There are two ways you can guarantee your spot at the playoff table. 1. Win the district outright or win the district tournament. Today I’ll update you on the district favorites. Yes an automated monkey could do this, but it’s good to see the Forest from the Trees from time to time.
6A
1-6A - Cleveland (Think Cleveland will win game two and win the district title)
2-6A - Sandia (Straight rolling the district. Have won 7 games in a row)
3-6A - Las Cruces (It’s a topsy turvy district, but the Dawgs are playing best right now)
4-6A - Hobbs (No brainer)
5-6A - Valley (Are running the district with a 5-0 record)
5A
1-5A - Gallup (Clear favorite, no debate)
2-5A - Espanola (Del Norte also has one loss, but I feel Espanola rises just in time)
3-5A - Centennial (No brainer)
4-5A - Roswell (Teams are going to test Roswell inside the district, but RHS no doubt)
5-5A - St. Pius X (Clear favorite. However I could see Grants giving them a run in the tournament)
4A
1-4A - Bloomfield (Currently a three way tie for 1st place. Bloomfield is 16-5 overall)
2-4A - Taos (What a pleasant surprise they have been. The district is just loaded)
3-4A - Cobre (Is Cobre really going to win the district! Wow if so)
4-4A - Portales (Easy choice here)
5-4A - Hope (No brainer, but St. Mike’s could give them problems when it really matters)
3A
1-3A - Newcomb (16-4 overall, 4-0 in district)
2-3A - Santa Fe Prep (Clear favorite inside the district, could be final 4 team)
3-3A - Mesilla Valley (Top overall team in Class 3A right now)
4-3A - Loving (16-3 and 2-0 in district. Tough district to win though)
5-3A - Clayton (Final 4 caliber team, however Tucumcari and SR are very good)
6-3A - Laguna Acoma (No brainer)
2A
1-2A - Ramah (Puzzled here because their record is 6-15)
2-2A - ToHjiilee (14-2 on the season, 2A sleeper?)
3-2A - Magdalena (22-0 on the year, Class favorite)
4-2A - Hagerman (4 teams in the district have a 1-1 record)
5-2A - Escalante (Straight loaded with a 19-1 record)
6-2A - Logan (15-3 on the year)
1A
1-1A - SF Waldorf (15-4 and 4-0 in district)
2-1A - Cliff (19-0 this year, no brainer)
3-1A - Hondo Valley (19-1, no brainer)
4-1A - Grady (Grady and San Jon is going to be some good late season hoops)
5-1A - Springer (4-0 in district, unlikely they lose a district game)
February 6th: Bubble Watch Debuts
Today we release our "Bubble Watch" feature which you can expect a lot of movement in and out over the next few weeks. We consider a bubble team this: a team that is not a district favorite aka automatic bid or a team that is not a district runner up. 16 teams are granted a spot in the New Mexico High School Basketball Tournament in Classes 6A-1A. If you win your district, you're in, but if you don't, teams are selected into the tournament based off a certain seeding criteria: 1. Finish in regular season district play, Head to Head, Wins against district champions regardless of class, overall records and the Freeman Rankings (aka the sponsor that pays the NMAA to use their computer rankings).
Here is our latest 6A bubble watch by
Atrisco Heritage - The Jaguars are on top of the bubble with a 12-8 record, but have a 1-3 district record. Sure it's a loaded district, but you have to win when it counts, which they have not at least lately. What the committee is going to like about their resume is they do have good wins over: West Mesa, Onate, and Sandia. Beating Rio Grande on February 12th is a must win. Consider Atrisco in at this point.
Mayfield Trojans - District 3-6A is going to be the most exciting to watch finish as almost any team can win the whole thing. It's likely a district where we'll have a district champ and a district tournament champ. Mayfield is 8-14 overall and 2-2 in district tied with Gadsden for 3rd in district. The good news is they beat La Cueva head to head. They also just beat Gadsden and Deming. Staying ahead of Gadsden and Deming almost assures them a spot. Have Gadsden, Las Cruces, and Onate to finish out.
Rio Grande - Right now their 0-4 district record is killing them. If they don't win a district game, they need to win the district tournament to get in, it's that simple. No one is taking a team with a 0-8 district record to the Big Dance. They have beat La Cueva once and split with La Cueva.
La Cueva Bears - Did not expect La Cueva to win more than 15 games this year, but expected them to be more competitive overall. Maybe missing Overacker for a good majority of the season has shorted their wins, but whatever the case they still control their own destiny. They are tied with Eldorado for 2nd in district and will take on the entire district again before the district tournament. It's realistic that the Bears could finish district 5-3.
Eldorado Eagles - The Eagles started off the season with a big win over Cibola, but with no Zach Gentry this team has fizzled on the year with a record of just 7-13. They have a key win over Rio Grande in January and played Carlsbad within 5, but their recent loss to La Cueva pins them with a 2-2 district record. IF somehow, Eldorado can remain 2nd in district, they might have an outside shot of getting in.
Santa Fe Demons - With an 11-11 record, the Demons need all the help and wins they can get. They are already 0-4 in the district with just 4-games left against Rio Rancho, Cleveland, Volcano Vista, and Cibola. Their chances would be slim even if they had a few district wins. Best case for Santa Fe is to shock the state in winning the tournament, but let's be real that's just not going to happen.
Feel free to add feedback! I'll add more features like this as we move forward.
This post was edited on 3/2 10:06 AM by Kyle H
