Week 11: It's Finally Friday - Statewide Preview
By: Kyle Henderson of NMPreps.com
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1. Cleveland 9-0, 3-0 vs. Rio Rancho
Cleveland wins, they are the District 1-6A Champ
2. Centennial 10-0, 5-0 - Defeated Santa Teresa 49-0
Finish regular season 10-0, likely No. 1 in Class 5A
3. Las Cruces 7-2, 3-0 vs. Mayfield
Beat Mayfield and they are the District 3-6A and have enough quality wins to grab the No. 2 or No. 3 spot in the playoffs. A loss to Mayfield would put them at 7-3 and they still have a key win against Rio Rancho would would also be vying for a top 4 seed. Strong possibility the Dawgs have a bye in the playoffs.
Complete Mayfield vs. Las Cruces Preview Here
4. Artesia 8-1, 2-0 vs. Lovington
Beat the Wildcats and they are likely the No. 2 seed in the 5A playoffs
5. Rio Rancho 7-2, 3-0 vs. Cleveland
Have won 5 in a row, likely a top 4 lock unless Mayfield was to beat Las Cruces for the District 3-6A Title, which would shake things up. That key win over Clovis is key, especially if the Wildcats win out.
6. Eldorado 8-2, 3-1 - Open
With Manzano beating La Cueva Thursday night the Eagles are District 2-6A Champs and are likely a top 4 in the 6A playoffs.
7. Clovis 6-3, 2-0 - vs. Carlsbad
Their win over Alamogordo puts them one win away from winning another district title. Beat Carlsbad and the lowest we have them seeded 5th or 6th. A loss to Carlsbad would not knock them out of the playoffs, but it will send them on the road in the opening round of the playoffs.
8. Volcano Vista 6-4, 2-2 - Open
Will finish ahead of Cibola in District play, likely a home game in the playoffs, their wins over Sandia and Manzano are very important, especially if Eldorado wins the district. Look for them to be a 7 or 8 seed
9. Manzano 6-4, 3-1 - Beat La Cueva 21-0
Beat La Cueva Thursday Night and though they are not the outright district champ, good possibility that Manzano is safe come Selection Saturday.
10. Mayfield 6-3, 3-1 vs. Las Cruces
Tough team to seed right now. A loss to Las Cruces puts them at 6-4 and 3-1 in district, those key wins over Hobbs and Carlsbad would be their best resume points. That loss to Manzano and their loss to Alamogordo could knock them out. If Manzano beats La Cueva and if Alamogordo beats Hobbs, could Mayfield be in jeopardy of missing the playoffs? Not likely, their playoff resume is better than Cibola. Now with a win over Las Cruces, Mayfield gains an auto bid and maybe even a top 4 seed if you can believe it. The reason: the seeding committee would have to seed Mayfield in the playoffs before Las Cruces and Las Cruces has too many key wins.
Complete Mayfield vs. Las Cruces Preview Here
11. Sandia 6-3, 2-1 vs. Highland
If they take care of Highland, they will be 7-3, no way they are staying home.
12. Hobbs 5-4, 1-1 vs. Alamogordo
Beating Carlsbad keeps their season alive, but they are not a lock yet. Beating Alamogordo makes them a bubble team: They have to beat Alamo and hope for Carlsbad to knock off Clovis which would create a three-way tie for 1st place as each of three teams mentioned would be 2-1.
13. Alamogordo 6-3, 0-2
Back is against the wall after their loss to Clovis. They lose to Hobbs and they are done. If Carlsbad beats Clovis and Alamogordo beats Hobbs the district would read: 1. Carlsbad (2-1), 2. Clovis (2-1), 3. Alamogordo (1-2) (if they beat Hobbs) and still keeping their playoff hopes alive, especially if Las Cruces beats Mayfield.
14. Cibola 5-4, 0-3 vs. Santa Fe
Clovis, Volcano Vista, Rio Rancho, Cleveland
Notes: An official playoff bubble team after their loss to Cleveland, they are 0-3 in district. That win over Manzano is really their only saving grace. Need La Cueva to beat Manzano, that would put Manzano as a bubble team as well.
15. Piedra Vista 8-2, 4-0 - Open
Auto bid to the playoffs. Their win over Moriarty is out-sines their loss to Roswell since the Pintos are District 5-5A Champs. Look for them to be at the No. 3 seed.
16. Moriarty 8-2, 2-0 - Open
District Champs with a 2-0 record in district and after beating St. Pius X 21-14. Likely landing a top 4 seed in the playoffs. Look for them at the No. 4 spot.
17. St. Pius X 8-1, 0-1 vs. Grants
They are in the playoffs with a win over Grants, they would likely still make the playoffs with a loss to Grants as they finish at worse 8-2 and have a few key victories. Likely a 5, 6, or 7 seed in the playoffs.
18. Goddard 5-4, 1-1 vs. Roswell
Goddard can land up with a 6, 7, 8, 9, 10 , it just depends on what goes down next week against Roswell. A win over the Coyotes and they likely host a playoff game.
19. Roswell 5-4, 1-1 vs. Goddard
Even with a loss to Goddard they should still be able to snag a playoff spot because they have some decent wins (win over PV really helps). Beating Goddard likely lands them a home playoff game.
20. Hatch Valley 10-0, 4-0 - Open
Either the No. 1 or No. 2 seed come Selection Saturday.
21. Portales 9-0, 3-0 vs. NMMI
Will land No. 1 or No. 2 seed if they close out undefeated.
22. Onate 4-6, 2-2
Do not meet playoff seeding criteria
23. Atrisco Heritage 5-5, 4-0 - Open
District 5-6A Champion, auto bid to the playoffs
24. Espanola 8-1, 2-1 vs. Bernalillo
Have to hope for Del Norte to beat Los Alamos, in that happens Espanola is the district 2-5A champ. If Los Alamos beats Del Norte that could spell trouble for Espanola as they would finish third in district with a head to head loss to Los Alamos.
25. Capital 7-3, 3-1 - Open
Capital has to hope Los Alamos beats Del Norte forcing a three-way tie for first place, in that scenario, the Jaguars are the District Champs. If Del Norte beats Los Alamos, Espanola is the District Champ. In each scenario, Capital has positioned themselves into the playoffs, they could even host a home game in round one.
2A, 8Man, 6Man Playoff Schedule
2A Football Bracket (opening round)
11/6 @ 7PM
No. 4 Questa @ No. 1 Escalante
11/6 @ 7PM
No. 3 Hagerman @ No. 2 Ft. Sumner
8Man Football Bracket (opening round)
11/6 @ 7PM
No. 8 Jemez Valley @ No. 1 Melrose
11/6 @ 7PM
No. 5 Dora/Elida @ No. 4 Logan
11/6 @ 7PM
No. 6 Carrizozo @ No. 3 Magdalena
11/6 @ 7PM
No. 7 Tatum @ No. 2 Gateway Christian
6Man Football Bracket (Semifinals)
11/7 @ 1PM
No. 5 Floyd @ No. 1 Grady/San Jon
11/6 @ 6PM
No. 3 Lake Arthur @ No. 2 Hondo Valley
Complete Week 11 Schedule
Thursday, November 5th
Valley 43, Rio Grande 6
Centennial 49, Santa Teresa 0
Manzano 21, La Cueva 0
Friday, November 6th
Mayfield vs. Las Cruces
Lovington @ Artesia
Espanola @ Bernalillo
Kirtland @ Bloomfield
Mesilla @ Capitan
Carlsbad @ Clovis
Belen @ Chaparral
Santa Fe @ Cibola
Gadsden @ Deming
Loving @ Dexter
Texico @ Eunice
Gallup @ Farmington
Alamogordo @ Hobbs
Socorro @ Hot Springs
Estancia @ Laguna
Tularosa @ Lordsburg
Los Alamos @ Del Norte
Crownpoint @ Navajo Prep
Taos @ Pojoaque
NMMI @ Portales
Cleveland @ Rio Rancho
Roswell vs. Goddard
St. Mike’s @ Ruidoso
Clayton @ Santa Rosa
Cobre @ Silver
Zuni @ Thoreau
Raton @ Tucumcari
Los Lunas @ Valencia
Highland @ Sandia
Shiprock @ Wingate
Saturday, November 7th
West LV vs. Robertson
State Playoff Seeding is Saturday, November 7th, 83PM MST
Brackets to follow on NMPreps.com
Breaking Down Your Team's Chances For The Playoffs
District 1-6A
Cleveland 9-0, 3-0
Who’s Left: Rio Rancho
Playoff Chances: 100%
Key Wins: Manzano, Clovis, and Eldorado, Volcano Vista, Cibola
Key Losses: None
Notes: No. 1 seed if they finish 10-0
Rio Rancho 7-2, 3-0
Who’s Left: Cleveland
Playoff Chances: 100%
Key Wins: Clovis, Atrisco, Volcano Vista
Key Losses: Las Cruces
Notes: Have won 5 in a row, likely a top 4 lock unless Mayfield was to beat Las Cruces for the District 3-6A Title, which would shake things up. That key win over Clovis is key, especially if the Wildcats win out.
Volcano Vista 6-4, 2-2
Who’s Left: Regular Season Complete
Playoff Chances: 100%
Key Wins: Sandia, Manzano, Atrisco, West Mesa, Cibola, Santa Fe
Key Losses: Las Cruces, Eldorado, Rio Rancho, Cleveland
Notes: Will finish ahead of Cibola in District play, likely a home game in the playoffs, their wins over Sandia and Manzano are very important, especially if Eldorado wins the district. Look for them to be a 7 or 8 seed.
Cibola 5-4, 0-3
Who’s Left: Santa Fe
Playoff Chances: 50%
Key Wins: Albuquerque, Manzano,
Key Losses: Clovis, Volcano Vista, Rio Rancho, Cleveland
Notes: An official playoff bubble team after their loss to Cleveland, they are 0-3 in district. That win over Manzano is really their only saving grace. Need La Cueva to beat Manzano, that would put Manzano as a bubble team as well.
Santa Fe 0-9, 0-3
Who’s Left: Cibola
Playoff Chances: 0%
Key Wins: None
Key Losses: All
Notes: Do not meet playoff seeding criteria
District 2-6A
Eldorado 8-2, 3-1
Who’s Left: Season Complete
Playoff Chances: 100%
Key Wins: West Mesa, Volcano Vista, Mayfield, La Cueva, Manzano
Key Losses: Cleveland and Sandia
Notes: Since they beat Manzano by 8 points they are the district champ if Manzano beats La Cueva. If La Cueva beats Manzano, then Sandia is the District 2-6A Champ and Eldorado is 2nd in district. The Eagles could be seeded as high as 2nd and at the worst 7th.
Manzano 5-4, 2-1
Who’s Left: La Cueva
Playoff Chances: 50%
Key Wins: West Mesa, Mayfield, Sandia
Key Losses: Cleveland, Volcano Vista, Cibola, Eldorado
Notes: Need to beat La Cueva in week 11 or they become a bubble team with that looming loss to another bubble team in Cibola. If they beat La Cueva, they will force a three-way tie for first place in the district which will look like this: 1. Eldorado, 2. Manzano, 3. Sandia, if that is the case all three teams from District 2-6A are going to the big show. #BeatLaCueva has to be their theme
Sandia 6-3, 2-1
Who’s Left: Highland
Playoff Chances: 100%
Key Wins: Atrisco, Albuquerque, Carlsbad, Eldorado, La Cueva
Key Losses: Volcano Vista, Cleveland, and Manzano
Notes: If they take care of Highland, they will be 7-3, no way they are staying home. If La Cueva beats Manzano and Sandia beats Highland: Sandia becomes District Champ as they have a head to head win over Eldorado.
La Cueva 2-7, 0-3
Who’s Left: Manzano
Playoff Chances: 0%
Key Wins: Atrisco Heritage, Highland
Key Losses: Las Cruces, Rio Rancho, Cibola, Valley, Eldorado, Sandia
Notes: Out of the playoffs, but can play spoiler with a win over Manzano.
Highland 2-7, 0-3
Who’s Left: Sandia
Playoff Chances: 0%
Key Wins: Albuquerque
Key Losses: West Mesa, Alamo, Atrisco, Manzano, Eldorado, La Cueva
Notes: Do not meet playoff seeding criteria
District 3-6A
Las Cruces 7-2, 3-0
Who’s Left: Mayfield
Playoff Chances: 100%
Key Wins: Volcano Vista, Rio Rancho, Artesia, Deming, Gadsden, Gadsden, Onate
Key Loses: Centennial
Notes: Beat Mayfield and they are the District 3-6A and have enough quality wins to grab the No. 2 or No. 3 spot in the playoffs. A loss to Mayfield would put them at 7-3 and they still have a key win against Rio Rancho would would also be vying for a top 4 seed. Strong possibility the Dawgs have a bye in the playoffs.
Mayfield 6-3, 3-0
Who’s Left: Las Cruces
Playoff Chances: 70%
Key Wins: Hobbs, Carlsbad, Onate, Deming, Gadsden
Key Losses: Alamogordo, Eldorado, Manzano
Notes: Tough team to seed right now. A loss to Las Cruces puts them at 6-4 and 3-1 in district, those key wins over Hobbs and Carlsbad would be their best resume points. That loss to Manzano and their loss to Alamogordo could knock them out. If Manzano beats La Cueva and if Alamogordo beats Hobbs, could Mayfield be in jeopardy of missing the playoffs? Not likely, their playoff resume is better than Cibola. Now with a win over Las Cruces, Mayfield gains an auto bid and maybe even a top 4 seed if you can believe it. The reason: the seeding committee would have to seed Mayfield in the playoffs before Las Cruces and Las Cruces has too many key wins.
Onate 4-6, 2-2
Who’s Left: Season Complete.
Playoff Chances: 0%
Key Wins: West Mesa, Deming, Gadsden
Key Losses: Cleveland, Hobbs, Mayfield, Las Cruces
Notes: Do not meet playoff seeding criteria
Gadsden 1-8, 0-3
Who’s Left: Deming
Playoff Chances: 0%
Key Wins: Santa Teresa
Key Losses: Las Cruces, Onate, Mayfield
Notes: Do you meet qualifications to be eligible
Deming 3-6, 0-3
Who’s Left: Gadsden
Playoff Chances: 0%
Key Wins: Carlsbad, Silver,
Key Losses: Las Cruces, Onate, and Mayfield
Notes: Do you meet qualifications to be eligible
District 4-6A
Clovis 6-3, 2-0
Who’s Left: Carlsbad
Playoff Chances: 100%
Key Wins: Goddard, Cibola, Atrisco, Hobbs, Alamogordo
Key Losses: Cleveland, Rio Rancho,
Notes: Their win over Alamogordo puts them one win away from winning another district title. Beat Carlsbad and the lowest we have them seeded 5th or 6th. A loss to Carlsbad would not knock them out of the playoffs, but it will send them on the road in the opening round of the playoffs.
Carlsbad 1-8, 1-1
Who’s Left: Clovis
Playoff Chances: 50%
Key Wins: Alamogordo
Key Losses: Deming, Mayfield, Artesia, Sandia, Goddard, Hobbs
Notes: Playoff eligible? Yes. With win over Clovis and if Alamo beats Hobbs, the Cavemen gain an auto bid. If Carlsbad and Hobbs win next week there will be a three way tie for 1st place: Clovis 2-1, Carlsbad 2-1, Hobbs 2-1. In that scenario: the district champ is determined by the 13 point rule.
Alamogordo 6-3, 0-2
Who’s Left: Hobbs
Playoff Chances: 50%
Key Wins: Los Lunas, Mayfield
Key Losses: Artesia, Carlsbad, Clovis
Notes: Back is against the wall after their loss to Clovis. They lose to Hobbs and they are done. If Carlsbad beats Clovis and Alamogordo beats Hobbs the district would read: 1. Carlsbad (2-1), 2. Clovis (2-1), 3. Alamogordo (1-2) (if they beat Hobbs) and still keeping their playoff hopes alive, especially if Las Cruces beats Mayfield.
Hobbs 5-4, 1-1
Who’s Left: Alamogordo
Playoff Chances: 60%
Key Wins: Roswell, Onate, Goddard, Carlsbad
Key Losses: Mayfield, Artesia, Clovis
Notes: Beating Carlsbad keeps their season alive, but they are not a lock yet. Beating Alamogordo makes them a bubble team: They have to beat Alamo and hope for Carlsbad to knock off Clovis which would create a three-way tie for 1st place as each of three teams mentioned would be 2-1.
District 5-6A
Atrisco Heritage 5-5, 4-0
Who’s Left: Season Complete, Clinched District Championship
Playoff Chances: 100%
Key Wins: Highland, Albuquerque, Valley, West Mesa
Key Losses: La Cueva, Sandia, Clovis, Rio Rancho
Notes: District 5-6A Champion
West Mesa 3-6, 2-1
Who’s Left: Albuquerque
Playoff Chances: 0%
Key Wins: Highland, Valley, Rio Grande
Key Losses: Valencia, Eldorado, Manznao, Onate, Volcano Vista
Notes: Notes: Do not meet playoff seeding criteria
Albuquerque 4-5, 2-1
Who’s Left: West Mesa
Playoff Chances: 0%
Key Wins: Valencia, Miyamura, Valley, Rio Grande
Key Losses: Cibola, Del Norte, Sandia, Highland, Atrisco
Notes: Notes: Do not meet playoff seeding criteria
Rio Grande 0-9, 0-3
Who’s Left: Valley
Playoff Chances: 0%
Key Wins: None
Key Losses: Eldorado, HIghland, Manzano, Los Lunas, Onate, St. Pius X, ABQ
Notes: Notes: Do you meet qualifications to be eligible
Valley 2-7, 0-3
Who’s Left: Rio Grande
Playoff Chances: 0%
Key Wins: La Cueva and Aztec
Key Losses: Rio Rancho, Eldorado, Ciboa, Sandia, West Mesa, Atrisco, ABQ High
Notes: Notes: Do you meet qualifications to be eligible
Breaking Down 6A
Playoff Locks
Cleveland
Eldorado
Las Cruces
Rio Rancho
Volcano Vista
Sandia
Clovis
Atrisco Heritage
Bubble
Cibola - Beating Santa Fe makes them 6-4
Manzano - Beating La Cueva makes them 6-4
Mayfield - Beating Las Cruces makes them 7-3
Carlsbad - Beating Clovis makes them 2-8
Alamogordo - Beating Hobbs makes them 7-3
Hobbs - Beating Alamogordo makes them 6-4
Out
Santa Fe
La Cueva
Highland
Onate
Gadsden
Deming
West Mesa
Albuquerque
Rio Grande
Valley
Top 4 Scenarios
Strongest possibility
1. Cleveland (Beat Rio Rancho)
2. Eldorado (Manzano beats La Cueva)
3. Las Cruces (Beat Mayfield)
4. Rio Rancho (Lose to Cleveland)
Possible
1. Cleveland (Beat Rio Rancho)
2. Las Cruces (Beat Mayfield, La Cueva beats Manzano)
3. Rio Rancho (Lose to Cleveland)
4. Clovis (Beat Carlsbad)
Could be
1. Cleveland (Beat Rio Rancho)
2. Eldorado (Manzano beats La Cueva)
3. Mayfield (Beat Las Cruces)
4. Las Cruces (Lose to Mayfield)
Least Likely
1. Rio Rancho (Beat Cleveland)
2. Cleveland (lose to Rio Rancho)
3. Eldorado (Manzano beats La Cueva)
4. Mayfield (Beat Las Cruces)
****************************************************************************************
Class 5A
District 1-5A
Piedra Vista 8-2, 4-0
Who’s Left: Season Complete, District Champs
Playoff Chances: 100%
Key Wins: Goddard, Moriarty, Farmington, Miyamura, Aztec, Gallup
Key Losses: Roswell
Notes: Auto bid to the playoffs. Their win over Moriarty is out-sines their loss to Roswell since the Pintos are District 5-5A Champs. Look for them to be at the No. 3 seed.
Aztec 3-6, 2-1
Who’s Left: Miyamura
Playoff Chances: 50%
Key Wins: Kirtland, Gallup, Farmington
Key Losses: Del Norte, Cobre, Valley, Piedra Vista
Notes: Beat Miyamura on November 6th and they have a great chance to be selected as one of the 12 to get in as the seeding committee cannot take Farmington without placing Aztec first. Even if Aztec finishes 3-1 in district, their resume is not strong enough to be a lock.
Farmington 6-3, 1-2
Who’s Left: Gallup
Playoff Chances: 45%
Key Wins: Los Lunas, Belen, Los Alamos, Grants, Miyamura
Key Losses: Piedra Vista and Aztec
Notes: Their playoff resume is good, but their district placement could keep them form the playoffs. They have to beat Gallup team to finish third in district. That Los Lunas head to head win as well as their head to head win over Los Alamos turned out to be very important. Will three teams from this district get into the playoffs?
Gallup 3-6, 1-2
Who’s Left: Farmington
Playoff Chances: 0%
Key Wins: Miyamura
Key Losses: Grants, Espanola, Moriarty, Aztec, Piedra Vista
Notes: Notes: Do you meet qualifications to be eligible
Miyamura 3-5, 0-2
Who’s Left: Aztec
Playoff Chances: 0%
Key Wins: Moriarty, Grants
Key Losses: St. Pius X, ABQ High, PV, Gallup, Farmington
Notes: Notes: Notes: Do you meet qualifications to be eligible
District 2-5A
Capital 7-3, 3-1
Who’s Left: Season Complete
Playoff Chances: 100%
Key Wins: Silver, Santa Fe, West LV, Lovington, Los Alamos, Bernalillo, Del Norte
Key Losses: St. Mike’s, Robertson, Espanola
Notes: Capital has to hope Los Alamos beats Del Norte forcing a three-way tie for first place, in that scenario, the Jaguars are the District Champs. If Del Norte beats Los Alamos, Espanola is the District Champ. In each scenario, Capital has positioned themselves into the playoffs, they could even host a home game in round one.
Los Alamos 3-5, 2-1
Who’s Left: Del Norte
Playoff Chances: 40%
Key Wins: Pojoaque, Santa Fe, Espanola, Bernalillo
Key Losses: St. Pius X, Moriarty, Kirtland, Farmington, Capital
Notes: If they beat Del Norte Friday Night they force a three-way tie for first place between: Capital, Espanola, and Los Alamos, if they do win: Capital is the District Champ, Los Alamos 2nd, and Espanola third. That is their best hope to get in. If Del Norte beats them, they are out.
Espanola 8-1, 2-1
Who’s Left: Bernalillo
Playoff Chances: 50%
Key Wins: West LV, Pojoaque, Gallup, Taos, Del Norte, Capital
Key Losses: Los Alamos
Notes: Have to hope for Del Norte to beat Los Alamos, in that happens Espanola is the district 2-5A champ. If Los Alamos beats Del Norte that could spell trouble for Espanola as they would finish third in district with a head to head loss to Los Alamos.
Del Norte 3-6, 1-2
Who’s Left: Los Alamos
Playoff Chances: 0%
Key Wins: Albuquerque, Aztec, Bernalillo
Key Losses: St. Pius X, Centennial, Los Lunas, Espanola, Capital
Notes: Do you meet qualifications to be eligible
Bernalillo 0-9, 0-3
Who’s Left: Espanola
Playoff Chances: 0%
Key Wins: None
Key Losses: All
Notes: Do you meet qualifications to be eligible
District 3-5A
Centennial 9-0, 4-0
Who’s Left: Santa Teresa
Playoff Chances: 100%
Key Wins: Onate, Del Norte, Las Cruces, Los Luas, Chaparral, Valencia, Belen
Key Losses: None
Notes: If they close out undefeated, the Hawks will land the No. 1 seed in Class 5A. Can Artesia argue for the No. 1 spot? Yes, but remember Centennial beat Las Cruces and Las Cruces beat Artesia head to head.
Los Lunas 5-4, 3-1
Who’s Left: Valencia
Playoff Chances: 55%
Key Wins: Del Norte, Santa Teresa, Belen, Chaparral
Key Losses: Farmington, Alamogordo, Goddard, Centennial
Notes: Need to beat Valencia and have Belen beat Chaparral which would put them 2nd in district. That early season loss to Farmington could keep them out…
Chaparral 6-3, 2-2
Who’s Left: Los Lunas, Belen
Playoff Chances: 40%
Key Wins: Gadsden, Valencia
Ley Losses: Centennial, Los Lunas
Notes: Chaparral has to beat Belen and hope for Valencia to beat Los Lunas. That would put them 2nd in district with a record of 7-3 and 3-2 in district. Tough to leave them out if that is the case.
Belen 2-6, 2-1
Who’s Left: Centennial, Chaparral
Playoff Chances: 20%
Key Wins: Santa Teresa, Valencia
Key Losses: Artesia, Moriarty, Farmington, Goddard, Roswell, Los Lunas, Centennial
Notes: Do you meet qualifications to be eligible
Valencia 2-7, 1-3
Who’sLeft: Los Lunas
Playoff Chances: 0%
Key Wins: West Mesa
Key Losses: Artesia, Albuquerque, Moriarty, Chaparral, Belen, Centennial
Notes: Do you meet qualifications to be eligible
Santa Teresa 1-8, 0-4
Who’s Left: Centennial
Key Wins: None
Key Losses: Belen, Los Lunas, Chaparral,
Notes: Do you meet qualifications to be eligible
District 4-5A
Artesa 8-1, 2-0
Who’s Left: Lovington
Playoff Chances: 100%
Key Wins: Belen, Hobbs, Valencia, Deming, Carlsbad, Alamogordo, Roswell, Goddard
Key Losses: Las Cruces
Notes: Beat Lovington and they are likely the No. 2 spot in Class 5A Playoffs.
Goddard 5-4, 1-1
Who’s Left: Roswell
Playoff Chances: 100%
Key Wins: Los Lunas Belen, Carlsbad, Lovington
Key Losses: Clovis, Piedra Vista, Hobbs, Artesia
Notes: Goddard can land up with a 6, 7, 8, 9, 10 , it just depends on what goes down next week against Roswell. A win over the Coyotes and they likely host a playoff game.
Roswell 5-4, 1-1
Who’s Left: Goddard
Playoff Chances: 65%
Key Wins: Silver, Belen, Piedra Vista, Lovington
Key Losses: Hobbs, Moriarty, Artesia
Notes: Even with a loss to Goddard they should still be able to snag a playoff spot because they have some decent wins (win over PV really helps). Beating Goddard likely lands them a home playoff game.
Lovington 1-8, 0-2
Who’s Left: Artesia
Playoff Chances: 0%
Key Wins: Ruidoso
Key Losses: Portales, Silver, Capital, Hobbs, St. Pius X, Goddard, Roswell
Notes: Do you meet qualifications to be eligible
District 5-5A
Moriarty 8-2, 2-0
Who’s Left: Season Complete, District Champ
Playoff Chances: 100%
Key Wins: Belen, Los Alamos, Valencia, Gallup, Roswell, Grants, St. Pius X, Grants
Key Losses: Miyamura, Piedra Vista
Notes: District Champs with a 2-0 record in district and after beating St. Pius X 21-14. Likely landing a top 4 seed in the playoffs. Look for them at the No. 4 spot.
St. Pius X 8-1, 0-1
Who’s Left: Grants
Playoff Chances: 100%
Key Wins: Del Norte, Los Alamos, Gallup, Miyamura, St. Mike’s, Rio Grande, Lovington
Key Losses: Moriarty
Notes: They are in the playoffs with a win over Grants, they would likely still make the playoffs with a loss to Grants as they finish at worse 8-2 and have a few key victories. Likely a 5, 6, or 7 seed in the playoffs.
Grants 4-5, 0-1
Playoff Chances: 30%
Who’s Left: St. Pius X
Key Wins: Gallup, Hope,
Key Losses: Miyamura, Farmington, Moriarty *twice
Notes: Beat St. Pius X and they are in.
Breaking Down Class 5A
5A Locks
Piedra Vista
Capital
Centennial
Artesia
Goddard
Moriarty
St. Pius X
Roswell
5A Bubble
Aztec
Farmington
Los Alamos
Espanola
Los Lunas
Chaparral
Grants
5A Out
Gallup
Miyamura
Del Norte
Bernalillo
Belen
Valencia
Santa Teresa
Lovington
Top 4 Scenarios For 5A
Most likely
1. Centennial (with win over Santa Teresa)
2. Artesia (with win over Lovington)
3. Piedra Vista (finish with 8-2 record, beat Moriarty)
4. Moriarty (finish with 8-2 record, lost to PV)
Possible
1. Centennial (with win over Santa Teresa)
2. Artesia (with win over Lovington)
3. Espanola (with win over Bernalillo and Del Norte beating Los Alamos)
4. Piedra Vista (finish with 8-2 record, beat Moriarty)
Could Be
1. Centennial (with win over Santa Teresa)
2. Artesia (with win over Lovington)
3. Piedra Vista (finish with 8-2 record, beat Moriarty)
4. Espanola (with win over Bernalillo and Del Norte beating Los Alamos)
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Class 4A
District 1-4A
Bloomfield 8-1, 4-0
Who’s Left: Kirtland Central
Playoff Chances: 100%
Key Wins: Aztec, Pojoaque, Socorro, Taos, Wingate, Shiprock, Thoreau, Zuni
Key Losses: Hope Christian
Notes: With a win over Kirtland Central they are the District 1-4A Champs. Their loss to Hope Christian could put them outside of a Top 4 seed (Unlikely because with win over KC they are 9-1 on the year) either way these guys are hosting a playoff game.
Kirtland Central 5-4, 4-0
Who’s Left: Bloomfield
Playoff Chances: 55%
Key Wins: Los Alamos, Zuni, Thoreau, Wingate, Shiprock
Key Losses: Bayfield, Farmington, Aztec, Piedra Vista
Notes: Hard to seed a team like Kirtland Central because they have no key wins and no key losses when looking at seeding criteria. An upset win over Bloomfield puts them into the playoffs and really shakes Class 4A up. Finishing the season 5-5 with a loss to Bloomfield to end the season would make them a bubble team.
Shiprock 4-5, 2-2
Who’s Left: Wingate
Playoff Chances: 20%
Key Wins: Questa, Navajo Prep, Thoreau, Zuni
Key Losses: Bloomfield, Socorro, Kirtland
Notes: Even with a win over Wingate in the final week, their schedule of strength is not strong enough to get them into the playoffs.
Zuni 3-6, 1-3
Do not meet playoff criteria
Thoreau 4-5, 1-3
Do not meet playoff criteria
Wingate 2-7, 0-4
Do not meet playoff criteria
District 2-4A
Robertson 7-2, 2-0
Who’s Left: West LV
Playoff Chances: 100%
Key Wins: Santa Rosa, St. Mike’s, Capital, Ruidoso, Clayton, Pojoaque, Taos
Key Losses: Portales, Cobre
Notes: If Robertson wins out, then their early season losses to Portales and Cobre are going to determine their seed. Likely a 5, 6, and at the very lowest a 7 seed. The Cardinals are a tough team with good wins. They are a game away from finishing an impressive 8-2.
Taos 4-5, 1-1
Who’s Let: Pojoaque
Playoff Chances: 50%
Key Wins: Laguna, Academy, West LV,
Key Loses: Hope, St. Mikes, Bloomfield, Espanola, Robertson
Notes: They are a strong favorite to beat Pojoaque in their final game of the season which would give them a .500 level record. Do they have a stronger playoff resume than Kirtland Central?
West Las Vegas 4-5, 1-1
Who’s Left: Robertson
Playoff Chances: 30%
Key Wins: Laguna Acoma, Raton, Tucumcari, Pojoaque
Key Losses: Clayton, Espanola, Capital, Hatch, Taos,
Notes: Have to upset cross town rival Robertson to make playoffs.
Pojoaque 0-9, 0-3
Do not meet playoff criteria
District 3-4A
Hatch Valley 10-0, 4-0
Who’s Left: Season Complete, District Champions
Playoff Chances: 100%
Key Wins: Dexter, Ruidoso, Lordsburg, West LV, Socorro, Silver, Cobre, Hot Springs
Key Losses: None
Notes: Either the No. 1 or No. 2 seed come selection Sunday.
Cobre 6-3, 2-1
Who’s Left: Silver
Playoff Chances: 100%
Key Wins: Robertson, Aztec, Lordsburg, Hot Springs, Socorro
Key Losses: Hatch Valley
Notes: Very good team and strong resume. A loss to Silver won’t keep them from making the playoffs, but it would place them at a 6, 7, or 8 seed. With a win over Silver they could argue for a top 4 spot.
Silver 4-5, 2-1
Who’s Left: Cobre
Playoff Chances: 100%
Key Wins: Lovington, Hot Springs, Socorro
Key Losses: Hatch, Roswell, Deming
Notes: Best sub .500 team in Class 4A. Could land a home game in the playoffs if they upset Cobre on November 6th. They will be a tough round one and even a tough quarterfinal draw in the playoffs.
Socorro 5-4, 0-3
Who’s Left: Hot Springs
Playoff Chances: 50%
Key Wins: Shiprock, Laguna, Academy, Raton
Key Losses: Bloomfield, Hatch, Silver, Cobre
Notes: Could sneak into the playoffs this year, that win over Shiprock could come into play. Beating Hot Springs would likely punch their playoff ticket.
Hot Springs 5-4, 0-3
Who’s Left: Hatch, Socorro
Playoff Chances: 50%
Key Wins: Thoreau, Lordsburg
Key Losses: NMMI, Silver, Cobre, Hatch Valley
Notes: Need to win a district game or else they will be 0-4 in district come seeding time and as you can see they don’t have one marquee win.
District 4/5-4A
Portales 9-0, 3-0
Who’s Left: NMMI
Playoff Chances: 100%
Key Wins: Robertson, Lovington, Texico, Eunice, Dexter, Hope, Ruidoso, St. Mike’s
Key Losses: None
Notes: Will land No. 1 or No. 2 seed if they close out undefeated.
Hope 7-3, 2-2
Who’s Left: NMMI
Playoff Chances: 100%
Key Wins: Academy, Taos, Santa Rosa, Bloomfield, St. Mike’s, NMMI
Key Losses: Grants, Portales, Ruidoso
Notes: Their recent win over St. Mike’s was huge and tag that up with their win over Bloomfield and Taos and these guys have a good resume.
St. Mike’s 5-4, 1-2
Who’s Left: Ruidoso
Playoff Chances: 75%
Key Wins: Capital, Taos, NMMI
Key Losses: Robertson, St. Pius X, Hope, Portales
Notes: Played tough against undefeated Portales in week 10, which looks good, but they cannot lose to Ruidoso in the final week. These guys could be seeded 7-10.
NMMI 7-2, 1-2
Who’s Left: Portales
Playoff Chances: 60%
Key Wins: Ft. Sumner, Capitan, Hot Springs, Ruidoso, Academy
Key Losses: St. Mike’s, Hope
Notes: Killer record and though they have played a light schedule, they have three key wins that should get them a potential home game: Hot Springs, Ruidoso, and Academy. Not sure where to place them in the bracket, especially if they go 1-3 in district.
Ruidoso 3-6, 1-2
Who’s Left: St. Mike’s
Playoff Chances: 50%
Key Wins: Pojoaque, Hope
Key Losses: Hatch, Lovington, Robertson, NMMI, Portales
Notes: That win over Hope Christian looks great now that the Huskies beat St. Mike’s. They don’t have too many marquee wins, but they have played a tough schedule.
Breaking Down Class 4A
4A Playoff Locks
Bloomfield
Robertson
Hatch
Cobre
Silver
Portales
Hope
4A Playoff Bubble
Kirtland Central
Shiprock
Taos
West LV
Socorro
Hot Springs
St. Mikes
NMMI
Ruidoso
4A Playoff Out
Zuni
Thoreau
Wingate
Pojoaque
Top Seed Scenarios
Most Likely
1. Hatch Valley or Portales (if Portales finishes 10-0)
2. Portales or Hatch Valley (if Portales finishes 10-0)
3. Cobre (with win over Silver)
4. Robertson (with win over West LV)
Possible
1. Hatch Valley or Portales (if Portales finishes 10-0)
2. Portales or Hatch Valley (if Portales finishes 10-0)
3. Bloomfield (With win over Kirtland)
4. Cobre (with win over West LV)
Still Possible
1. Hatch Valley or Portales (if Portales finishes 10-0)
2. Portales or Hatch Valley (if Portales finishes 10-0)
3. Bloomfield (with win over Kirtland)
4. Robertson (with win over West LV, Silver win over Cobre)
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Class 3A
District 1-3A
Navajo Prep 4-4, 2-0
Who’s Left: Crownpoint
Playoff Chances: 75%
Key Wins: Zuni, Thoreau, Tohatchi, Newcomb
Key Losses: Estancia, Escalante, Shiprock, Dexter
Notes: This team is the district favorite each year, beating crown point punches their ticket.
Tohatchi 6-3, 1-1
Who’s Left: Newcomb
Playoff Chances: 50%
Key Wins: Cuba, Zuni, Wingate, Crownpoint
Key Losses: Navajo Prep, Thoreau
Notes: Have to beat Newcomb and will be 7-3, don’t have many key wins. Playoff fate sits in the hands of the committee.
District 2-3A
Estancia 8-0, 2-0
Who’s Left:,Laguna
Playoff Chances: 100%
Key Wins: Lovington, Navajo Prep, Tucumcari, Capitan, Santa Rosa, Tularosa, Cuba Clayton, Dulce
Key Losses: None
Notes: Clear cut No. 1, should polish off Laguna with ease
Laguna Acoma 4-4, 2-0
Who’s Left: Estancia
Playoff Chances: 50%
Key Wins: SF Indian, Tohatchi, Cuba, Dulce
Key Losses: West LV, Socorro, Taos, Santa Rosa,
Notes: Don’t have a strong resume, but there are not many teams in the 8-12 range in 3A that do. Maybe that win over Tohatchi gets them in.
District 3-3A
Lordsburg 6-3, 2-0
Who’s Left: Tularosa
Playoff Chances: 100%
Key Wins: Newcomb, Capitan, Mesilla Valley
Key Losses: Hatch, Hot Springs, Cobre
Notes: None of their three losses are bad losses, in-fact they are unbeaten against 3A comp so far. Finishing out unbeaten in District, they’ll land a top 4 seed.
Capitan 5-4, 1-1
Who’s Left: Mesilla Valley
Playoff Chances: 100%
Key Wins: Hagerman, Jal, Texico, Loving, Tularosa
Key Losses: NMMI, Estancia, Lordsburg
Notes: Good ball club, that win over Texico is going to really help out if they take care of Mesilla Valley to finish out. Look for them to be a 5, 6, or 7 seed.
Tularosa 1-8, 1-1
Who’s Left: Lordsburg
Playoff Chances: 10%
Key wins: Mesilla Valley
Key Losses: Hot Springs, Dexter, Eunice, Cobre, Ruidoso, Hatch, Estancia, Capitan
Notes: Might of missed their playoff shot with that loss to Capitan. Upseting Lordsburg is a long-shot, but it’s a rivalry game so expect anything.
Mesilla Valley 2-7, 0-2
Who’s Left: Capitan
Playoff Chances: 10%
Key Wins: None
Key Losses: NMMI, Jal, Hot Springs, Hagerman, Tularosa, Lordsburg
That loss to Tularosa might of ended their season if they can’t upset Capitan.
District 4-3A
Eunice 5-3, 2-0
Who’s Left: Texico
Playoff Chances: 100%
Key Wins: Tularosa, Jal, Dexter, Loving
Key Losses: Clayton, Portales,
Notes: Their opening district win puts them in the drive seat to win the district, beating Texico on Nov. 6th is going to be tough, but they are in with a win over the Demons. That loss to Clayton could put them at the 4 or 5 spot in the tournament (if they and Clayton win out)
Dexter 6-3, 1-1
Who’s Left: Loving
Playoff Chances: 100%
Key Wins: Tularosa, Hagerman, Tucumcari, Santa Rosa, Navajo Prep, Texico
Key Losses: Hatch, Portales, Eunice
Notes: Their loss against Eunice hurts in terms of district play, but it would be shocking if they are on the road in the playoffs. With a win over Loving and with an upset of Texico over Eunice it would force a three-way district tie for first.
Texico 3-5, 1-1
Who’s Left: Eunice
Playoff Chances: 100%
Key wins: Santa Rosa, Clayton, Loving
Key Losses: Tucumcari, Capitan, Dexter
Notes: Good wins over Santa Rosa and Clayton should over shine their hiccup against Tucumcari. Lost an important district game against Dexter. It won’t keep them out of the playoffs, beating Eunice will shake things up and could force a three-way tie for first place.
Loving 3-6, 0-2
Who’s Left: Eunice, Dexter
Playoff Chances: 5%
Key Wins: Hagerman, Jal,
Key Losses: Capitan, Ft. Sumner, Texico, Eunice
Notes: Have not played a top tier schedule, their wins over some 2A teams are decent, they played Capitan close, and they are likely to go 0-3 in district. Not sure if a 3-7 team will land a spot.
District 5-3A
Santa Rosa 4-5, 2-0
Who’s Left: Clayton
Playoff Chances: 100%%
Key Wins: Laguna Acoma, Raton, Tucumcari
Key Losses: Texico, Robertson, Hope, Estancia, Dexter
Notes: It’s odd not seeing Santa Rosa as a top tier team in Class 3A, however they’ll likely still land a playoff game thanks to their recent win over Raton and Tucumcari. They could win the district by beating an old rival in Clayton.
Clayton 4-5, 2-0
Who’s Left: Santa Rosa
Playoff Chances: 100%
Key Wins: West LV, Eunice, Tucumcari, Raton
Key Losses: Texico, Robertosn, Estancia,
Notes: They don’t have many key wins, but have played a very difficult schedule and could be a tough out for the remainder of the season. Look for them to be a 4-7 seed if they win out, especially if Eunice wins District 4-3A. Could still win the district by beating Santa Rosa.
Tucumcari 2-6, 0-2
Who’s Left: Raton
Playoff Chances: 50%
Key Wins: Texico, Ft. Sumner
Key Losses: Escalante, Estancia, Dexter, West LV, Clayton, Santa Rosa
Notes: They are hanging on to that win over Texico, but a loss to Raton and they are done.
Raton 2-7, 0-2
Who’s Left: Tucumcari
Playoff Chances: 50%
Key Wins: McCurdy, Questa,
Key Losses: Escalante, West LV, Socorro, Santa Rosa, Clayton
Notes: Need to beat Tucumcari to even be considered.
Breaking Down Class 3A
Playoff Locks
Navajo Prep
Estancia
Lordsburg
Capitan
Eunice
Dexter
Texico
Santa rosa
Clayton
Playoff Bubble
Tohatchi
Laguna Acoma
Mesilla Valley
Tularosa
Tucumcari
Raton
Loving
Top 4 Scenarios For Class 3A
Strongest Possibility
1. Estancia
2. Lordsburg
3. Dexter (if they win District 4-3A)
4. Clayton (with win over Santa Rosa)
Possible
1. Estancia
2. Lordsburg
3. Clayton (with win over Santa Rosa)
4. District 4-3A Champ (If Eunice)
