2019 State: 3A Bracket Breakdown
Grine of NMPreps
The NMPreps.com bracket breakdown for the 2019 New Mexico High School Football State Playoffs.
No. 12 Zuni Thunderbirds (5-5) at No. 5 Tularosa Wildcats (7-2)
Early Grine Line: Tularosa -44
NMPreps Score Predictor: Tularosa 50, Zuni 6
Why Zuni: After a 0-5 start to the season the Zuni Thunderbirds pulled off five straight wins to end the season, including 4-0 during district play to earn an automatic bid in the playoffs. The Thunderbirds will still be a heavy underdog (early Grine line +44) but with first-year head coach leading the charge they will come in as a wildcard. During their win streak the Thunderbirds averaged 42 points per game; the season average was 24 points per game.
Why Tularosa: The Wildcats were the number one ranked team in 3A football five straight weeks (week six to week eleven) before eventually falling in their district championship on the final night of the season. The Wildcats feature top player Traiton Griffin (2020/QB) who has over 700 yards passing and another 600 yards rushing this season with a total 18 touchdowns.
Notes: The Zuni Thunderbirds are 3-1 on the road this season. Tularosa is 3-1 at home this season. Tularosa won 22-20 in the first round of the 2018 state playoffs.
Quarterfinals: The winner will travel to Dexter to take on the 4-seed Dexter Demons - the defending state champs in 3A football.
No. 11 Hot Springs Tigers (5-5) at No. 6 West Las Vegas Dons (6-4)
Early Grine Line: WLV -12
NMPreps Score Predictor: West Las Vegas 28, Hot Springs 15
Why Hot Springs: The Tigers HAD to win on the final of the season and despite being a nine point underdog they pulled out a nine point win to earn an at-large bid this post season. Look to Benito Villa (QB/2020) to lead the way for the Tigers on the road after tossing for 1,312 yards this season, 16 touchdowns.
Why West Las Vegas: The sixth ranked Dons earned a boost on the final day of the season and jumped into the sixth spot, finishing as a district runner up with the help of district foe Raton upsetting St. Michael's. The Dons feature star quarterback John Balizan (2020) along with Isaiah Deane (2020) and Estevan Gonzales (2020) on the defensive side.
Notes: This is the first meeting between the schools (5-year span). West Las Vegas is 3-1 at home this season. Hot Springs went 2-3 on the road.
No. 10 Cobre Indians (4-5) at No. 7 New Mexico Military Institute Colts (6-4)
Early Grine Line: NMMI -3.5
NMPreps Score Predictor: New Mexico Military 21, Cobre 20
Why Cobre: The Cobre Indians have played well lately winning three of the last four and finished as the district runner up. Look for
Ezequiel Dominiguez (QB/2020) to continue playing well for the Indians after a few big games late into the regular season. Running back Jaden Gomez (RB/2020) also provide a punch to the offense for the Indians.
Why NMMI: The Colts ended their regular season on a high note with a convincing win over Tucumcari, putting them above the .500 mark on the season (6-4 overall, 1-2 district). The Colts bring several weapons on the offensive side as well and will look to
Daniel Xibille (2021/QB), Gus Curnutt (2020/WR), and
Carlos Retamoza (2020/RB).
Notes: Cobre is 0-4 on the road. NMMI is 4-2 at home this season. The two programs have not played each other in the last five seasons.
Quarterfinals: The winner will travel to Albuquerque to play Hope Christian (2)
No. 9 St. Michael's Horsemen (4-5) at No. 8 Raton Tigers (5-5)
Early Grine Line: Raton -5
NMPreps Score Predictor: Raton 28, St. Michael's 20
Why Horsemen: The Horsemen looking to rebound a week later after falling 34-13 to Raton to end the regular season on Saturday afternoon. The Horsemen have experienced a roller coaster type of season after starting the season 0-3, then pulled off four wins, before dropping the final two games of the season. The Horsemen feature Lucas Coriz (2022/QB), Ray Lynch (2020), and Daymon Lujan (2022). A young core that could make things interesting in this quick rebound game.
Why Raton: The Tigers have freshman running back Cayden Walton leading way with 1,721 yards on the season and 17 touchdowns. The Tigers are looking to keep things riding after a program lifting win over St. Michael's on the final night. The Tigers are young - they feature sophomore quarterback Dylan Quartieri - but could be a team that enters as a sleeper but they will have to learn how to win with a huge target this coming weekend.
Notes: Raton is 3-1 at home this season. St. Mikes is 2-2 on the road.
Quarterfinals: The winner will face the 1-seed Socorro Warriors.
3A Breakdown Superlatives
Best Game: 7-NMMI vs 10-Cobre. This contest could be a close one that comes down to a fourth quarter showing. NMMI will come hot quick but the Indians hope to counter come the second half.
Most Likely to Upset: 11-Hot Springs vs 6-West Las Vegas. Likely not a game that I would take, I'd take the spread, but the Tigers earned a win that could propel them against West Las Vegas. Keep an eye.
5-12 Seed that Could Play in the Semifinals: 5-Tularosa. This one seems obvious but the Wildcats needed a wake up call, after being the top team for weeks. They get a chance at redemption in a week against Dexter. That could be the best game of the playoffs.